US inflation: still a long way from home
Given its influence over US monetary policy and interest rates, which in turn shape broader asset and FX markets, trends in US inflation are critical to watch. Indeed, we would argue that while Australia’s inflation pulse influences domestic interest rates and the AUD, these impacts are swamped by US inflation developments as they can affect not only US macro-outcomes but also global growth expectations, credit spreads, commodity prices, global equities, and world bond markets. At a topline level, the April reading of US inflation shows that things are moving in the right direction. ‘Peak’ inflation is behind us, but genuine...