Global
Market Snapshot
Key foreign exchange variables, updates daily
This table provides a concise snapshot of key market variables that influence major foreign-exchange pairs. It combines recent performance indicators (% change over the last 5 days and year-to-date), technical trading levels (50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages; pivot points), and macro-financial drivers (policy interest rates, money-market deposit rates, and government bond yields at the 2- and 10-year maturities). By showing yield differentials—spreads between US rates and those in each currency’s home market—the table highlights one of the primary forces behind currency movements: interest-rate expectations and relative return opportunities. Finally, the inclusion of implied volatility gives a quick sense of how much uncertainty or risk is priced into each currency over the near term.
Global
Spot Performance
Gain (+) or loss (-) against USD, year to date, %, updates daily
Represents the percentage change, along with the minimum and maximum change in the nominal exchange rate relative to the US dollar year to date.
Global
DXY-Weighted Yield Differential
Foreign-US 10-year government bond yield differentials, %
Represents the difference between the 10-year US Treasury yield and a weighted basket of 10-year yields for the Euro Area, Japan, the UK, Canada, Sweden, and Switzerland. Positive values indicate higher yields in US dollars relative to other currencies, while negative values imply the opposite.
Global
Currency Volatility
Realized 3-month historical G7 currency volatility v. implied volatility, 3-month ATM options, updates weekly
Represents realized volatility - the scale and frequency of moves over the prior three months - and implied volatility - the market’s expectations of moves over the next three months. Realized volatility is measured using the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over a three-month rolling time horizon, and implied volatility is derived from at-the-money three-month currency options.
Global
Equity Volatility
VIX Volatility Index, NSA, adjusted for breaks, updates daily
The VIX Volatility Index is a measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It does not directly measure volatility in currency markets, but large movements in global foreign exchange rates are often associated with spikes in the VIX.
Global
Speculative Positioning
Net long (+) or short (-) futures position held by large speculators, billions US dollars, updates weekly
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's weekly Commitments of Traders report provides a breakdown of the net positions for "non-commercial" (speculative) traders in US futures markets. Market participants follow the data to identify extreme long or short positions in a currency - something that can signal a trend reversal.
Global
Turnover by Currency
"Net-Net" basis, April 2025 daily averages, share of total
Illustrates the distribution of global foreign-exchange spot market turnover by currency, highlighting the relative dominance of the most-traded units. The US dollar accounts for the largest share by a wide margin, reflecting its role as the primary vehicle and reserve currency in international transactions. The euro forms the second pillar of global trading, while the Japanese yen and pound sterling make up a meaningful but smaller portion. Commodity and regional currencies—such as the Australian, Canadian, and Swiss francs, along with select emerging-market currencies—collectively represent a modest share, underscoring the high concentration of liquidity in a handful of major currencies. Figures on a "net-net" basis are corrected for local and cross-border inter-dealer double-counting.
Global
Turnover by Instrument
"Net-Net" basis, April 2025 daily averages, billions USD
Illustrates global foreign-exchange turnover by instrument type, showing how activity is distributed across the main hedging and liquidity vehicles in the currency market. Foreign-exchange swaps account for the largest share, reflecting their central role in short-term funding, balance-sheet management, and liquidity transformation among banks and institutional participants. Spot transactions represent a smaller share, capturing immediate exchange needs tied to trade, investment, and tactical positioning. Outright forwards and non-deliverable forwards illustrate the importance of hedging and synthetic exposure management, particularly for corporates and investors managing future cash flows or accessing restricted currencies. Options volumes, while more modest, signal demand for convex payoff structures and volatility management. Taken together, the chart highlights how the FX market is driven less by simple currency conversion and more by financing, hedging, and risk-transfer activities.
Latest Analysis
Optimism reigns across financial markets, weighing on the dollar
16 April, 2026
Good morning. Financial markets are in an ebullient mood as investors bet the US and Iran will reach a peace deal in the coming weeks, allowing the Strait of Hormuz to reopen and relieving the supply shock...
Hopes & dreams
14 April, 2026
• Positive vibes. Markets hopeful another round of US/Iran talks yield positive results. Oil lower, equities higher. USD weaker. AUD at multi-week high.• Macro pulse. IMF downgraded global outlook. Australian...
Diplomacy hopes drive dollar lower
14 April, 2026
Good morning. Financial markets are rallying on hopes for a renewal of diplomatic engagement in the Middle East, with some media outlets reporting that US and Iranian negotiating teams could return to...
Iran whiplash forces markets into retreat
13 April, 2026
Hopes for a swift resolution to the war in the Middle East were shattered over the weekend when US-Iran peace talks collapsed and President Trump announced plans to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran...
One step forward, two steps back
12 April, 2026
• US/Iran conflict. Weekend talks ended without an agreement. Energy prices jumped this morning. USD firmer. AUD & NZD lose ground.• Macro risks. US threatens to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Downside...
Markets edge higher as inflation surge matches estimates
10 April, 2026
Headline consumer price growth jumped by the most since June 2022 in the United States last month while measures of underlying pressure remained tame, underscoring the challenge facing the Federal Reserve...
Ceasefire optimism fades, leaving markets in retracement mode
09 April, 2026
Markets are giving back some of yesterday’s gains as doubts mount over Tuesday’s US-Iran ceasefire agreement, with Israel pressing its assault on targets in Lebanon, Tehran showing no sign of easing its...
Fragile ceasefire
08 April, 2026
• Holding up. Markets held onto yesterday’s gains stemming from the US/Iran ceasefire news. However there wasn’t much additional follow through in FX.• AUD & NZD. AUD near top of its ~2-week...
Iran relief rally punishes dollar
08 April, 2026
A tentative relief rally is unfolding across global markets after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with yields falling, equities climbing, and the dollar tumbling against its major rivals...
Let's make a deal
07 April, 2026
• US/Iran ceasefire. News of a ceasefire has boosted risk sentiment. Equity futures higher, oil lower, USD weaker. AUD & NZD at multi-week highs.• Lingering issues. Developments are a positive. But...