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Global

Markets
Economics

Global

Spot Performance

Gain (+) or loss (-) against USD, year to date, %, updates daily

Represents the percentage change, along with the minimum and maximum change in the nominal exchange rate relative to the US dollar year to date.

Global

DXY-Weighted Yield Differential

Foreign-US 10-year government bond yield differentials, %

Represents the difference between the 10-year US Treasury yield and a weighted basket of 10-year yields for the Euro Area, Japan, the UK, Canada, Sweden, and Switzerland. Positive values indicate higher yields in US dollars relative to other currencies, while negative values imply the opposite.

Global

Currency Volatility

Realized 3-month historical G7 currency volatility v. implied volatility, 3-month ATM options, updates weekly

Represents realized volatility - the scale and frequency of moves over the prior three months - and implied volatility - the market’s expectations of moves over the next three months. Realized volatility is measured using the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over a three-month rolling time horizon, and implied volatility is derived from at-the-money three-month currency options.

Global

Equity Volatility

VIX Volatility Index, NSA, adjusted for breaks, updates daily

The VIX Volatility Index is a measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It does not directly measure volatility in currency markets, but large movements in global foreign exchange rates are often associated with spikes in the VIX.

Global

Speculative Positioning

Net long (+) or short (-) futures position held by large speculators, billions US dollars, updates weekly

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's weekly Commitments of Traders report provides a breakdown of the net positions for "non-commercial" (speculative) traders in US futures markets. Market participants follow the data to identify extreme long or short positions in a currency - something that can signal a trend reversal.

Global

Turnover by Currency

"Net-Net" basis, April 2022 daily averages, billions USD

Turnover by Currency measures the USD-equivalent value of spot contracts executed on a global basis during an average trading day. Figures on a "net-net" basis are corrected for local and cross-border inter-dealer double-counting.

Global

Turnover by Instrument

"Net-Net" basis, April 2022 daily averages, billions USD

Turnover by Instrument measures the USD-equivalent value of spot transactions, outright forwards, foreign exchange and currency swaps, options non-deliverable forwards, and other contracts executed on a global basis during an average trading day. Figures on a "net-net" basis are corrected for local and cross-border inter-dealer double-counting. 

Latest Analysis

All Commentary

Latest Analysis

Markets Retreat on Signs of Consumer Strain
15 May, 2025
The dollar is retreating as optimism surrounding the weekend’s trade deal continues to diminish and US consumers show signs of exhaustion, leaving investors to contemplate longer-term risks to the American...
‘Mar A Lago Accord’ Fears Unnerve Dollar Bulls
14 May, 2025
The dollar is extending its losses this morning, following reports that the United States and South Korea held talks on Seoul’s foreign exchange policies in early May – a development that may signal a...
Economic Scepticism and Soft Inflation Weigh on Dollar
13 May, 2025
Euphoria surrounding the weekend’s US-China tariff climbdown is fading this morning, and the dollar is retreating in the face of a third consecutive monthly undershoot in inflation data. Treasury yields...
US-China Trade Ceasefire Boosts Global Asset Prices
12 May, 2025
A palpable sense of relief is washing over global markets after the US and China agreed to temporarily cut most tariffs on each other’s goods ahead of further trade negotiations. North American equity...
Words vs actions
11 May, 2025
• Positive talks. Constructive talks between US/China over the weekend. But a deal may take some time. This may temper the markets excitement.• Market trends. Equity futures have opened positively. USD...
The art of the deal
08 May, 2025
• Tariff news. US/UK trade deal ‘framework’ unveiled. Baseline 10% tariff remains. Many details still to be worked out. US/China talks this weekend.• Upbeat markets. Equities rose as did bond...
Markets Rally On Hopes For Global Trade Ceasefire
08 May, 2025
Stock futures are up and the dollar is trading on a stronger footing after President Donald Trump said he would announce a “full and comprehensive” trade agreement with the United Kingdom later this morning,...
Push-pull forces
07 May, 2025
• Mixed markets. US equities end a bit higher overnight, while bond yields eased & the USD rose. AUD & NZD gave back ground over the past 24hrs.• Macro news. US/China reportedly set to hold trade...
Markets Climb On Trade Negotiation Hopes
07 May, 2025
The US dollar looks set to snap a three-day losing streak and stock market futures are climbing ahead of the North American open after Beijing and Washington said trade talks between China and the United...
Markets Open On A Somewhat-Downbeat Footing
06 May, 2025
The dollar is retreating and North American equity futures are setting up for a second day of losses after a series of downbeat earnings outlooks from economic bellwethers like Ford and Palantir cast doubt...

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Data and information on this website is provided “as is” and for informational purposes only. Information on the website does not bind Corpay in any way; nor is it not intended as advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial products. Data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. All charts or graphs are from publicly available sources, or our proprietary data. Nothing in this material should be construed as investment, financial, tax, legal, accounting, regulatory or other advice or as creating a fiduciary relationship. Corpay disclaims any responsibility or liability to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on our use of the data in any way. You should contact your Corpay sales representative for clarification on the range of financial instruments available in your jurisdiction. Copyright Cambridge Mercantile Corp. 2022.