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Latest Market Notes

Crosscurrents
• Mixed signals. Positive US CPI offset by lack of US/China trade progress. S&P500 dipped, as did bond yields. AUD & NZD also eased back.• Tariff impacts. Some signs of tariffs in US inflation. But other factors working the opposite way. Will US inflation re-accelerate down the track?• Data flow. US producer prices & jobless claims tonight. Next week US Fed meets, China data is due, &...
Currencies Calm Even As Pound Slumps On Labour Market Cooling
The greenback is edging higher against most of its advanced-economy counterparts, but traders remain cautious as they await tomorrow’s inflation release, Thursday’s long-dated Treasury auction, and any substantive breakthroughs in US-China trade negotiations. North American equity futures are little changed, yields are inching lower, and all major currency pairs – other than those involving the British...
Slow & steady
• Quiet start. US equities rose a bit overnight, while US bond yields & the USD eased. AUD & NZD near top of their respective multi-month ranges.• Macro trends. US jobs report released last Friday. Topline figures mask weakness under the hood. Indicators point to softer trends forming.• Event Radar. US/China trade talks taking place. In the US, inflation is a focus (Weds). Will the US CPI show...
Data Cadence Slows, But Bond Auctions Represent Clear and Present Danger
The US dollar is trading with a softer tone this morning, slipping against all of its major counterparts as it relinquishes gains made on the heels of Friday’s robust jobs report. Ten-year Treasury yields are retreating from the 4.5-percent mark before a heavy slate of bond auctions, equity futures are holding steady ahead of the North American open, and implied volatility in currency markets is subsiding...

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