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Daily Market Briefing, Asia Pacific

US jobs report in focus

• Marking time. Markets essentially in a holding pattern ahead of tonight’s US jobs report. Easing French political concerns support EUR.• US jobs. Non-farm payrolls in focus. Reaction likely to be binary with stronger (weaker) data likely to support (weigh) on the USD.• AUD trends. AUD has clawed back some ground. US jobs report is a near-term risk event. RBA meets on Tuesday. US Fed meets the week after. With little new information to move the dial markets have essentially been in a holding pattern ahead of tonight’s US jobs report. European equities ticked higher (EuroStoxx600 +0.4%) while the major...

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Subpar growth weighs on the AUD

• Positive vibes. Equities power ahead. USD treads water. AUD underperforms. US data solid but not spectacular overnight.• AUD tumbles. Weaker than expected GDP weighs on AUD. Growth has slowed across the private sector but the level of activity is still high.• Policy impulse. RBA should hold steady next week. Upcoming US jobs report could impact market pricing for a December Fed rate cut. Global political ructions have continued but the direct market impact has been minimal. In France, as widely expected, a no-confidence vote in Parliament triggered a collapse of the government. France faces a month-end deadline to sort...

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Markets calm despite political turbulence

• Political news. Political developments in South Korea & ongoing issues in France dominated the international news flow the past 24hrs.• Calm markets. However, market spillovers were limited. European equities rose. USD held steady, as did AUD. NZD eased slightly.• AU growth. Q3 GDP released today. Partial data points to a pick up in activity. A ‘soft landing’ looks to be intact. RBA set to lag its global peers. News-wise there has been a lot going on but the geopolitical developments had limited spillover across markets overnight. In South Korea, after months of political deadlock President Yoon stunned the nation...

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French politics rattles FX markets

• Mixed markets. Equities push higher while French political issues weighed on the EUR. This supported the USD. AUD & NZD lost ground.• US data. ISM manufacturing better than expected. US job openings due tonight. Non-farm payrolls released on Friday night.• AU events. October retail sales stronger than anticipated. A promising sign for Q4. Q3 GDP released on Wednesday. RBA meets next week. There has been a mixed performance across asset markets and regions at the start of the new month. Equities have continued to power along with strength in the tech-sector underpinning the broader US market which hit another...

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US jobs in the spotlight this week

• Positive tone. A solid end to November with US & European equities rising. Bond yields dipped. AUD & NZD edged a bit higher.• JPY revival. JPY rebound has weighed on USD/JPY & the USD. Narrowing yield spreads as the BoJ hikes & others cut rates is JPY supportive.• Event radar. Locally, retail sales out today & GDP is on Weds. US Fed Chair Powell speaks this week & the latest US jobs figures are due. Markets ended last week, and November, on a positive note. In the holiday shortened US session equities rose with the S&P500 (+0.6%) touching another...

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