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Latest Market Notes

Currency Markets Brace for Event Risk-Laden Week
Currency traders are on edge ahead of a series of event risks that could trigger renewed volatility in foreign exchange markets. The dollar is inching lower after last week brought confirmation of a weakening in retail sales, along with an unexpected increase in jobless claims during the June non-farm payrolls survey period. Recent data has shown clear evidence of slowing momentum in the US economy,...
Inflation & politics this weeks focus
• Macro trends. Weaker EZ PMIs weighed on EUR. Positive US surprises also helped the USD. AUD drifted lower, but still rose over the week.• AUD crosses. Diverging trends still AUD supportive, particularly on crosses. AUD/EUR & AUD/CAD near respective 1-year highs. AUD/JPY north of 106.• Event radar. Locally, monthly CPI (Weds) & speech by the RBA Dep. Gov in focus. US PCE deflator due (Fri)...
Dollar Steadies Ahead of Equity Market 'Triple Witching'
The US dollar looks set to consolidate its weekly gains in today’s session as traders remain cautious, but equity markets could exhibit some volatility as a ‘triple witching’ episode – when stock options, stock index futures, and stock index options expire on the same day – contributes to abnormal activity. Treasury yields are holding steady, and oil prices are inching higher. The...
AUD cross-currents
• Mixed markets. European equities rose, while US stocks slipped back. Dovish European central bank outcomes weighed on EUR & GBP. USD a bit firmer.• Central banks. SNB cut rates again. The BoE opened the door to a move in August. The cross-currents pushed AUD/EUR & AUD/GBP higher.• Data flow. PMIs in focus today with data from Europe & the US due. Is the US’ outperformance fading?...

News Feed

Big US banks expected to be cautious on shareholder payouts - Reuters
Big US banks expected to be cautious on shareholder payouts  Reuters
Police escort for Hungary PM Orban involved in crash, officer dies - Reuters
Police escort for Hungary PM Orban involved in crash, officer dies  Reuters
PepsiCo to waive clause in bottling deal as Carlsberg eyes $3.9 bln Britvic bid - Reuters
PepsiCo to waive clause in bottling deal as Carlsberg eyes $3.9 bln Britvic bid  Reuters
Oil prices push higher as demand expectations offset dollar strength - Reuters
Oil prices push higher as demand expectations offset dollar strength  Reuters
Doctors must keep prescriptions for Ozempic in check, Danish regulator says - Reuters
Doctors must keep prescriptions for Ozempic in check, Danish regulator says  Reuters

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