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Currency markets are set for a jolt when trading resumes this afternoon, though the reaction may prove less dramatic than the weekend’s headlines might suggest.
US and Israeli strikes on Iran have sent missiles arcing across the Middle East and claimed the life of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, prompting celebrations in Iranian cities. Yet for all the pyrotechnics, the military campaign appears calibrated...
The US and Israel launched air strikes on Iran earlier this morning, with the apparent aim of overthrowing the regime that has ruled since 1979. In an early-morning address, US president Donald Trump said “The United States military is undertaking a massive and ongoing operation to prevent this very wicked, radical dictatorship from threatening America and our core national security interests,” telling...
Good morning. Tensions between the US and Iran, doubts about the sustainability of the artificial intelligence boom, and uncertainty over the Trump administration’s tariff plans are restraining risk appetite, leaving most major currency pairs nearly flat against yesterday’s fix. The dollar is trading incrementally softer against a basket of its peers, benchmark ten-year Treasury yields...
• AUD strength. Positive sentiment & firmer inflation have supported the AUD. This & JPY weakness have propelled AUD/JPY to a multi-decade high.• Data flow. US producer price inflation due later this week. Looking ahead, AU GDP, as well as the US ISMs, retail sales, & jobs report are out next week.
Global Trends
There was an upbeat tone overnight with limited fresh economic newsflow...
Financial markets are becalmed after US president Donald Trump stuck to the script in his State of the Union address last night, avoiding any major policy announcements and striking a more measured tone on Iran than some investors had feared. The dollar is almost unchanged relative to the afternoon fix, benchmark Treasury yields are edging higher, and equity markets look set to extend yesterday’s recovery...
Good morning. The dollar is advancing against most of its major counterparts and measures of implied currency volatility are tracking near historic norms as foreign exchange traders downplay tariff risks and shrug off signs of a shift in investor sentiment around the US technology sector.
US Customs began collecting a 10-percent tariff on goods not covered by exemptions this morning—below the...