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Latest Market Notes
• Push-pull. Modest market moves overnight. US equities ticked up, bond yields dipped. Copper rose. USD a bit softer. AUD edged back over ~$0.63• AU Budget. Small surprise tax cut starts in mid-2026. RBA outlook unchanged as overall fiscal impulse little different. Federal Election due by 17 May.• Data flow. Monthly AU CPI indicator released today. Global markets still focused on US reciprocal tariffs...
• Hold the line. US equities ticked up on Friday, as did the USD. EUR & GBP eased back at the end of last week, as did the AUD & NZD.• Tariff news. US’ reciprocal tariffs set to be unveiled on 2 April. What form they will take is still unknown. Uncertainty may generate more volatility.• Event radar. In AU the Budget & monthly CPI are due this week. Globally, PMIs are released. In...
• Jitters return. Post-US Fed optimism faded. Equities slipped back. USD index rose. NZD & AUD depreciated. AUD near ~$0.63, its March average.• AU jobs. February figures had more noise than signal. Employment fell but unemployment held steady. RBA shouldn’t jump at one month’s data.• Trading ranges. Yesterdays intra-day swing in AUD & NZD was larger than average. More vol. likely...
• US Fed. No surprises with the Fed keeping interest rates on hold & noting uncertainty has “increased” due to what is happening policy-wise.• Mixed markets. US equities rose while bond yields declined. The USD gave back earlier gains. AUD near ~$0.6360 ahead of today’s AU jobs report.• NZ GDP. Data confirmed NZ emerged from recession in Q4 ’24. But there is still a lot...