Corpay Currency Research
Corpay Currency Research delivers daily market updates, macroeconomic analysis, and longer-term forecasts to help you make fast, confident, and informed decisions on foreign exchange risk — wherever your organisation is exposed.
• Market jitters. Renewed US/Iran tensions pushed up oil prices. Long end bond yields rose again & equities slipped back. AUD & NZD a bit weaker.• Macro pulse. RBNZ expected to raise rates today. Will its guidance point to more moves? Q2 AU GDP predicted to show sluggish growth.
Global Trends
Markets have been jittery over the past few sessions with a combination of economic and geopolitical...
Good morning. A rout in global bond markets is intensifying and the dollar is climbing as an outbreak in hostilities between the US and Iran revives inflation risks, raises the likelihood of interest rate hikes in the months ahead, and makes safe havens more appealing.
Energy prices are ratcheting higher after two supertankers were reportedly struck by anti-ship missiles while passing through the...
Good morning. The dollar is edging off highs reached last week as traders digest Friday’s hawkish tilt in Fed communications, monitor developments in oil markets, and brace for a slew of event risks in the days ahead. Ten-year Treasury yields are holding near their highest levels since early last year, equity markets are setting up for modest declines at the open, and most major currencies are...
Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole keynote address to warn that inflation is running too hot for comfort, firming expectations that the central bank could raise rates this autumn, and driving the dollar higher.
In an address that subtly departed from market expectations for continued neutrality, Warsh said “I am impressed by the overall performance of the economy, which...
The Canadian economy expanded at the fastest rate since 2023 in the second quarter, but showed signs of decelerating slightly into the third, helping reinforce expectations for a neutral message from the Bank of Canada next week. Numbers released by Statistics Canada this morning showed real gross domestic product growing at a 3.3-percent annualised pace in the three months ended June, matching market...
Good morning. Most major currency pairs are little changed this morning as traders trim positions and avoid directional bets ahead of tomorrow’s long-awaited address from Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. Oil prices are edging lower as talks between Iran and Oman over the fate of the Strait of Hormuz show signs of progress, Treasury yields are holding steady,...