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Good morning. Risk aversion is dominating markets as trading resumes after yesterday’s North American holiday. The dollar and safe-haven yen are extending their gains, two-year Treasury yields are sliding toward three-year lows, and equity futures are pointing to a weaker open as investors brace for a continuation of last week’s rotation away from AI-exposed businesses. Oil prices are slightly higher...
• US CPI. Cooling US inflation helped stabilise risk sentiment. US bond yields dipped. USD tread water, as did the NZD. AUD drifted a bit lower on Friday.• Event radar. US holiday tonight. Lunar New Year started. RBNZ meets this week (Weds). US GDP (Fri night AEDT) & AU jobs data also out (Thurs).
Global Trends
There was a mixed performance across markets at the end of last week with encouraging...
Consumer price growth avoided a widely-feared acceleration in the United States last month, giving the Federal Reserve room to adopt a slightly more accommodative stance in the months to come. According to data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the core consumer price index—with highly-volatile food and energy prices excluded—climbed 2.5 percent in the year ending in January,...
Good morning. The dollar is edging lower even after yesterday’s stronger-than-expected jobs data drove a hawkish repricing in US growth and monetary policy expectations. Treasury yields are holding steady, North American equity indices are setting up for a mixed open, and most major currency pairs—including the Australian and Canadian dollars, the British pound, and the euro—are trading within tightly-defined...
• US data. US jobs report supported sentiment. This & ‘hawkish’ comments by RBA’s Hauser helped AUD outperform. AUD at levels last traded in Feb ’23.• Rate repricing. Markets factoring in another RBA hike by August. Relative interest rates are AUD supportive. But has it moved up too fast?
Global Trends
There was a more positive tone across markets overnight with better-than-expected...
After slowing sharply over the last year, the US job creation engine showed signs of accelerating last month, frustrating market expectations for a rapid easing cycle from the Federal Reserve, and allaying fears of a dramatic slowdown in consumer spending. According to delayed data just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 130,000 jobs were added in January—topping the 68,000-position consensus...