Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

JPY

Yields Push Higher as Debt Worries Intensify

Treasury markets are extending their losses this morning on worries that funding strains could reach unsustainable levels after the House of Representatives passed President Donald Trump’s broad-reaching tax-cut bill. By a 215-to-214 margin, the lower chamber passed what Trump has called his “one, big, beautiful” bill early this morning, with two Republicans and all Democrats voting against it. The 30-year Treasury yield is closing on the 5.15-percent threshold, nearing levels only temporarily breached during the Fed-induced selloff in 2023, and previously touched in 2007. The dollar giving back some of its overnight gains, and most of its major counterparts are...

Read More Read More

‘Mar A Lago Accord’ Fears Unnerve Dollar Bulls

The dollar is extending its losses this morning, following reports that the United States and South Korea held talks on Seoul’s foreign exchange policies in early May – a development that may signal a shift in Washington’s focus from trade imbalances to currency concerns. On a trade-weighted basis, the greenback has fallen more than a full percentage point against its peers in the euro area, United Kingdom, and Japan this week, bringing its year-to-date slump to more than 6 percent. The Korean won leapt higher along with many of its unpegged Asian counterparts after Bloomberg and Reuters cited sources saying...

Read More Read More

Economic Scepticism and Soft Inflation Weigh on Dollar

Euphoria surrounding the weekend’s US-China tariff climbdown is fading this morning, and the dollar is retreating in the face of a third consecutive monthly undershoot in inflation data. Treasury yields are pushing lower, equity futures are pointing slightly higher, and safe-haven currencies like the Swiss franc and Japanese yen are back to outperforming their risk-sensitive brethren. Consumer price growth slowed in the United States last month, potentially giving the Federal Reserve more breathing space as it seeks to address slowdown risks in the economy. According to data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the core consumer price...

Read More Read More

Words vs actions

• Positive talks. Constructive talks between US/China over the weekend. But a deal may take some time. This may temper the markets excitement.• Market trends. Equity futures have opened positively. USD index a little firmer. AUD & NZD ticked up thanks to relative strength on cross-rates.• Event Radar. In AU the monthly jobs report is out (Thurs). In the US, CPI, retail sales, import prices due this week. Tariff impacts will be looked for. Global Trends Markets consolidated at the end of last week with limited economic data released and with participants lasering in on the weekend meeting between US...

Read More Read More

The art of the deal

• Tariff news. US/UK trade deal ‘framework’ unveiled. Baseline 10% tariff remains. Many details still to be worked out. US/China talks this weekend.• Upbeat markets. Equities rose as did bond yields. USD claws back more lost ground. NZD & AUD drift lower. AUD outperforms NZD, JPY & EUR.• Upcoming events. China trade data released today. Several US Fed members also due to speak. Will the USD’s recovery extend? Global Trends US trade developments remain in the spotlight. After signaling that an announcement was in the pipeline yesterday the US unveiled a ‘framework’ for a deal with the UK. A positive...

Read More Read More