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JPY

Market Briefing: Dollar Retreats After Messi Weekend

With traders returning to their terminals after an exceptionally unpredictable and entertaining World Cup, a final round of year-end rebalancing is driving most major currencies up against the dollar. Treasury yields are flat, commodity prices are firmer, and equity futures are pointing to incremental gains at the open. Japan’s yen is stabilizing after an unusually-volatile weekend trading session. On Saturday, the Kyodo news agency, citing government sources, said Prime Minister Fumio Kishida was planning to work with the next Bank of Japan Governor on adding “flexibility” to the country’s inflation target – a step that could pave the way for...

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Market Briefing: Volatility falls in the run-up to an eventful week

The dollar is setting up for a third day of losses even as markets prepare for an onslaught of potential volatility catalysts in the week ahead. Economists think the US will report a 7.3-percent rise in headline consumer prices when it drops November’s data on Tuesday – confirming a steady easing in inflation pressures. The Federal Reserve is expected to announce another half-percentage-point hike on Wednesday, and publish an updated set of policy projections showing a gradual deceleration in coming months. The European Central Bank and Bank of England will probably deliver their own half-point hikes on Thursday. Traders will...

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Market Briefing: Risk appetite erodes as markets brace for turbulent week ahead

The dollar is creeping higher as traders begin to cut risk ahead of next week’s US consumer price report and Federal Reserve meeting. Both events carry the potential to drive unpredictable changes in year-ahead rebalancing flows across currency markets, and hedging demand is pushing up one-week implied volatility levels in most majors. The Canadian dollar is back near levels that prevailed ahead of yesterday’s rate decision. The Bank of Canada raised rates by more than expected – half a percentage point – but offset the impact on yields and the exchange rate by signalling an imminent pause in its tightening...

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Market Briefing: Greenback continues to tumble ahead of jobs report

The dollar continued its descent overnight as traders bet on a weaker jobs report and a slower pace of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The trade-weighted greenback is down almost 1.5 percent this week, floating near a four-month low as American yields come under pressure and interest rate differentials shrink in favour of other major currencies. The benchmark ten-year US treasury yield is holding near 1.51 percent, down sharply after Jerome Powell’s less-hawkish-than-expected speech on Wednesday. Yesterday’s data showed American consumer spending hitting new heights, even as inflation pressures cooled. Supported by robust income gains and a falling savings...

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Market Briefing: Risk appetite improves as Fed jawboning efforts help stabilize rate expectations

The dollar is slipping and risk sensitive exchange rates are recovering this morning as risk appetite improves after yesterday’s hawkish comments from Fed officials. Mr. Bullard, notoriously hawkish, but not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee next year, said rates might have to climb above 5.25 percent as previous increases have “had only limited effects on observed inflation”. Neel Kashkari – once one of the most dovish Fed policymakers – walked a similar path later in the day, saying “we cannot be overly persuaded by one month’s data”, helping to push back against the wholesale loosening in...

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