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JPY

Market Briefing: Worsening Risk Appetite Pummels Global Currency Markets

With real yields storming higher, the dollar is extending its rally this morning, sending the pound, euro and yen tumbling toward multi-decade lows. Global financial conditions are tightening and traders are bailing out of risk-sensitive assets ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where policymakers are expected to deliver 75 basis-point hike and guide terminal rate expectations firmly above the 4.25 percent mark. The British pound is plumbing levels last seen in 1985 after a weak retail sales report exacerbated fears of a deep and prolonged recession. The Office for National Statistics said receipts dropped 1.6 percent between July and...

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Market Briefing: Tightening Financial Conditions Induce Caution In Currency Markets

Pondering the unbearable weight of massive rate increases, market participants are downgrading economic growth prospects this morning, lifting the dollar and sending the yield curve deeper into inverted territory. Short-term curves are flattening and the difference between 2- and 30-year Treasury rates — often seen as a measure of long-term growth expectations — has reached levels not seen since 2000 as Tuesday’s inflation data drives investors to ramp up bets on a policy-induced slowdown. American producers cut prices again in August, suggesting that consumer inflation could drop in the months ahead. The producer-price index, released yesterday by the Bureau of...

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Market Briefing: Shellshocked Currency Markets Attempt a Recovery

Investors and foreign exchange traders are trying to recover after getting resoundingly wrong-footed by yesterday’s US consumer price report. The dollar is slipping against many of its major rivals and equity futures are pointing to a slightly stronger open as positioning errors are unwound and liquidity levels return to normal. Markets plummeted yesterday after the Bureau of Labor Statistics said price increases were faster and more persistent than anticipated in August, crushing the “peak inflation” narrative, and spurring a violent jump in short-term interest rates. The dollar surged higher, clobbering global equity bourses and rival currencies alike as terminal rate...

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Market Briefing: Dollar Rally Pauses as Global Policy Landscape Shifts

Equity markets are poised for a strong open and the greenback is retreating ahead of data that could reinforce the “peak inflation” narrative and influence longer-term monetary policy expectations. The trade-weighted dollar is slipping from multi-decade highs and a broad-based improvement in risk appetite is visible across most major asset classes, suggesting that traders and investors are cutting short positions in preparation for tomorrow’s August consumer inflation report. The euro is powering higher, extending its biggest rally in at least six months as interest rate differentials narrow. The spread between US and German yields narrowed to a one-month low over...

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Market Briefing: Currency Markets Reverse Direction on Narrowing Yield Gaps

The dollar is tumbling as currency traders unwind wagers on ever-widening gaps between the world’s major central banks. With the Bank of Japan inching closer to a shift in policy direction, the European Central Bank making hawkish noises, and an energy price cap reducing pressure on the Bank of England, yield differentials are moving in a more synchronized fashion than in recent months – and evidence of a slowing in the Chinese economy is helping reduce the greenback’s safe-haven appeal. The pound is recovering after new Prime Minister Liz Truss announced plans to hold average household energy bills at no...

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