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JPY

Market Briefing: Risk appetite improves as Fed jawboning efforts help stabilize rate expectations

The dollar is slipping and risk sensitive exchange rates are recovering this morning as risk appetite improves after yesterday’s hawkish comments from Fed officials. Mr. Bullard, notoriously hawkish, but not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee next year, said rates might have to climb above 5.25 percent as previous increases have “had only limited effects on observed inflation”. Neel Kashkari – once one of the most dovish Fed policymakers – walked a similar path later in the day, saying “we cannot be overly persuaded by one month’s data”, helping to push back against the wholesale loosening in...

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Market Briefing: Kumbaya-that-dare-not-speak-its-name lifts financial markets

Signs of a thaw in US-China relations and more evidence of a dovish shift in the Federal Reserve’s messaging on rates are giving currency markets an opportunity to trade against the US dollar this morning. Equity futures are setting up for a strong open, yields are down, and commodities are gaining across the board. The greenback is down against most of its major counterparts after US president Joe Biden and Chinese general secretary Xi Jinping agreed to resume cooperation on a number of fronts, helping to reduce pressure on the yuan and weaken safe haven demand for the dollar. After...

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Market Briefing: Markets Go Quiet Ahead of Fed Decision

Good morning and happy Federal Reserve day to all who celebrate. With asset prices resembling Schrödinger’s cat – simultaneously poised for a rally or a crash – bond yields are steady and exchange rates are tightly rangebound ahead of this afternoon’s highly-anticipated announcement. The central bank is widely expected to raise rates by another three-quarters of a percentage point, while signalling a coming deceleration in tightening. The big question for markets is how Jerome Powell will manage the accompanying communications conundrum, somehow telling investors to expect a slower pace of rate hikes without triggering a drastic loosening in financial conditions....

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Market Briefing: Depressed Earnings Weigh on Global Market Sentiment, Boosting Dollar

US equity futures are falling and the dollar is climbing after weak earnings releases from the likes of Amazon and Apple provided more evidence of a slowdown in the world’s largest economy. The ten-year Treasury yield is flirting with the 4-percent threshold once again, commodities are weaker, and oil price gains are stalling out. Canada’s dollar is struggling to push through the 1.35 mark. The euro is trading back below parity against the dollar after the European Central Bank delivered a widely-expected 75 basis point hike but removed statement language that had previously suggested rates would ratchet higher at the...

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Market Briefing: Dollar Falls on Broad-Based Currency Market Reversal

The dollar is selling off and most major currency pairs are experiencing sharp trend reversals as investors bet on a less aggressive rate posture from the Federal Reserve. In a week defined by evidence of a slowing economy – consumer confidence, home prices, and manufacturing gauges all came in below expectations – many are reappraising Friday’s “stepping down” comments from the San Francisco Fed’s Mary Daly, and traders are now positioning for a slightly more cautious message from central bankers at next week’s meeting. We’re not confident such a dramatic shift in tone is coming before year end, but stretched...

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