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Daily Market Briefing, Asia Pacific

US labour market trends in focus

• Equities higher. Yesterday’s lift in Asian equities flowed through to other markets. The S&P500 rose, while US bond yields eased & the USD consolidated.• AU retail. Australian retail sales exceeded expectations, with spending related to the women’s World Cup supportive. AUD a bit firmer.• US data in focus. There is a string of US labour market releases over the next few days. Will the US’ relative economic strength continue? At the start of a week jam-packed with important economic data, particularly in the US, equities have risen over the past 24hrs while US bond yields have eased, and the...

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Heard it all before

• Jackson Hole. Chair Powell didn’t deviate much from the script. Fed prepared to tighten further if needed, & will hold rates at a “restrictive level” for some time.• Market swings. A bit of volatility in markets, but with a ‘higher for longer’ view priced in equities reversed course. This gave the AUD a bit of support.• Event risks. AU retail sales (today), the monthly CPI (Weds), China PMIs (Thurs), & US jobs report (Fri) are in focus this week. Markets endured a burst of volatility on Friday as US Fed Chair Powell delivered his much-anticipated Jackson Hole speech. In...

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Markets marking time

• Mixed signals. European equities rose, but US markets were a bit more cautious. Long-end bond yields eased. A softer EUR supported the USD Index.• AUD base? The consolidation in USD/CNH & firmer base metal prices helped the AUD tick up slightly. Offshore forces will drive the AUD near-term.• Event radar. European/US PMIs (today), trends in China, & speeches by Fed Chair Powell & ECB President Lagarde later this week are in focus. A mixed performance across markets with news flow limited. Bond moves remain in focus. Time will tell but from our perspective there are some tentative signs things...

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Bond yields still rising

• Bond yields. US 10-year yields at their highest since 2007. The upswing in real yields has been the driver. Despite the lift in yields US equities also rose.• Stable FX. The USD & AUD consolidated. AUD remains near the bottom of its 2023 range. Is the AUD finding a base?• Upcoming events. European/US PMIs (Weds), China developments, & upcoming speeches by Fed Chair Powell & ECB President Lagarde are in focus. Despite the limited news flow bond yields have extended their upswing with markets focused on this week’s Jackson Hole Symposium and speeches by US Fed Chair Powell and...

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Pausing for breath

• Calmer markets. US bond yields, the S&P500, & the USD consolidated on Friday, though underlying risk sentiment still looks somewhat fragile.• Global events. European/US PMIs (Weds), week ending speeches by Fed Chair Powell & ECB President Lagarde, & China developments in focus this week.• AUD consolidating. AUD treading water near its 2023 lows. There are no local events scheduled this week. AUD will be driven by offshore news. After a busy few sessions markets consolidated on Friday with little new news coming through to move the needle or alter the fragile state of risk sentiment. The US S&P500 was...

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