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MXN

Markets Stabilise on Tariff Hopes

Some semblance of calm is returning to financial markets this morning after US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggested that the administration could agree to relax tariffs on Canada and Mexico by this afternoon. Equity indices plunged, Treasury yields tumbled, and risk-sensitive currencies sold off during yesterday’s session as investors expressed concern over the growth-negative aspects of the Trump administration’s tariff measures, but reversed higher when Lutnick’s interview with Fox News aired after the North American close, and have added to their gains this morning on similar comments provided during an interview with Bloomberg. Currency traders remain on tenterhooks however, especially...

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Dollar Retreats as Economic Data Slows and Geopolitical Shifts Bolster the Euro

The dollar is down sharply against most of its major rivals this morning as bets on the ‘US exceptionalism’ trade are unwound and investors throw money at the euro area ahead of an expected rise in government spending on defence. Defying consensus forecasts, on a year-to-date basis, the most widely-quoted measure of the greenback’s value—the DXY “Dixie” dollar index—is now down 2.3 percent, while the euro is up 1 percent, and the Japanese yen is sitting on top of the major-currency leaderboard with a near-4-percent gain. Stagflation worries are suddenly stalking the US economy and financial markets. Friday’s personal spending...

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Tariff Uncertainty Weighs on Markets and US Consumption

The dollar remains firmly on the offensive after Donald Trump reiterated his threat to impose near-universal 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico as soon as next week. Ten-year Treasury yields are trading close to the 4.25 percent threshold after having lost almost 35 basis points since the middle of the month, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indices have given back all of this year’s gains, and a sense of caution is gripping currency markets as a range of indicators point to an uncertainty-driven slowdown in the world’s largest economy—and in the countries that it trades with. The US...

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Mexican Peso, Canadian Dollar, and Chinese Yuan Fall As Trump Renews Tariff Threats

The Mexican peso, Canadian dollar, and Chinese yuan are dropping after Donald Trump renewed tariff threats against the three countries, clarifying (and contradicting) comments made ahead of yesterday’s cabinet meeting. In a post on his social media platform, Truth Social, the president said “Drugs are still pouring into our Country from Mexico and Canada at very high and unacceptable levels. A large percentage of these Drugs, much of them in the form of Fentanyl, are made in, and supplied by, China. More than 100,000 people died last year due to the distribution of these dangerous and highly addictive POISONS. Millions...

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Tariff Confusion Leaves Currency Markets Rudderless

The US dollar is inching higher against most of its rivals—with the exception of the safe-haven Swiss franc—as investors monitor signs of an impending economic slowdown amid deepening uncertainty over the Trump administration’s tariff plans. Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are holding just below the 4.3-percent threshold after fully unwinding their post-election gains, North American equity futures are setting up for an almost-unchanged open, and foreign exchange rates are displaying signs of broad-based risk aversion. The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are almost unchanged after President Trump appeared to say that levies on the two countries would take effect on April...

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