Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

MXN

Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s tariff regime, doesn’t rule on refunds

The Supreme Court of the United States this morning ruled against Donald Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs, but declined to rule on firm’s eligibility for refunds, meaning that importers will be left to pursue claims through the Court of International Trade. At first glance, the ruling should reduce tail risks for market participants. The threat of abrupt and unilateral changes in US tariff rates has been a persistent source of volatility premia in foreign exchange, particularly for export-sensitive currencies. By narrowing the scope for executive action and lengthening the policy transmission lag, the...

Read More Read More

US economy slows, but exhibits signs of resilience, keeping dollar aloft

The American economy slowed by more than expected in the final quarter of 2025, with weaker consumer spending, trade effects, and the government shutdown combining to sap momentum. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed gross domestic product rising at a 1.4-percent annual rate in the fourth quarter after a 4.4-percent jump in the three months prior, surprising economists who had anticipated a print closer to the 3-percent mark. Household spending decelerated to a 2.4 percent pace from 3.5 percent previously, net exports flatlined as tariff front-running effects continued to offset themselves, and the government shutdown...

Read More Read More

Hawkish Fed minutes keep dollar well-supported

Good morning. The dollar is outperforming all of its major counterparts as the aftermath of yesterday’s more hawkish-than-expected Federal Reserve minutes puts upward pressure on yields and weakens demand for speculative asset classes. Ten-year Treasury yields are inching higher, equity futures are setting up for modest losses ahead of the North American open, and the euro, pound, and Mexican peso are all coming under mild selling pressure even as rate curves shift upward in sympathy. Federal Reserve officials showed little inclination to ease policy at last month’s meeting, with the bulk of the rate-setting committee hoping to see further progress...

Read More Read More

Investors cautiously step into market wreckage seeking bargains

After several sessions of violent, whiplash price action in precious metals, cryptocurrencies and high-beta technology stocks, investors are hesitantly stepping back in this morning, driving a mean-reversion process across asset classes. The US dollar—which enjoyed a brief, and increasingly-unusual bout of safe-haven support earlier in the week—is retreating against most of its major peers, while Treasury yields are drifting lower and equity futures are pointing to a partial clawback of yesterday’s losses. The pattern of returns over the last week suggests that the recent market turbulence reflects narrative exhaustion rather than a decisive shift in macro fundamentals. Although thousands of...

Read More Read More

Currency market fireworks remain subdued as traders process conflicting signals

Good morning. Foreign exchange markets are caught between conflicting forces as precious metals extend their decline and a sell-off in technology stocks shows signs of exhaustion. Gold and silver prices are tumbling once again, North American equity futures are setting up for modest gains at the open, and the dollar is advancing against most of its major peers amid choppy trading conditions. The pound is down sharply after the Bank of England narrowly avoided cutting rates in its latest decision, shocking observers expecting a far more neutral outcome. Four of nine Monetary Policy Committee members voted to cut rates—well beyond...

Read More Read More

Data and information on this website is provided “as is” and for informational purposes only. Information on the website does not bind Corpay in any way; nor is it not intended as advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial products. Data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. All charts or graphs are from publicly available sources, or our proprietary data. Nothing in this material should be construed as investment, financial, tax, legal, accounting, regulatory or other advice or as creating a fiduciary relationship. Corpay disclaims any responsibility or liability to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on our use of the data in any way. You should contact your Corpay sales representative for clarification on the range of financial instruments available in your jurisdiction. Copyright Cambridge Mercantile Corp. 2022.