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MXN

Global Selloff Intensifies

In an unusual turn of events, investors are suddenly acting as if bad news for the economy might also be bad news for financial markets. During yesterday’s session, evidence of rising unemployment and a deepening contraction in the US manufacturing sector helped compound the effects of a series of underwhelming earnings reports, triggering a plunge in major stock indices – and the selling looks set to continue at this morning’s open, as futures point to further losses. Air seems to be coming out of the artificial intelligence bubble. Updates from the likes of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft this week...

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Fed Easing Hints Carry Markets Higher

Financial markets are kicking off a new month in an ebullient mood after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank is prepared to cut them in September if inflation keeps moving lower. Treasury yields are lower across the curve, equity futures are consolidating for another day of gains, and commodity prices are broadly higher. On foreign exchange bourses, price action is more mixed, with a generalised improvement in risk appetite intersecting with still-elevated geopolitical tensions to alleviate selling pressure on the greenback: the Canadian dollar is holding steady while most other majors...

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Equity Unwind Sparks Risk Retreat

Risk-sensitive currencies are staging a broad retreat as losses in stock markets continue. North American equity futures are pointing to a lower open after suffering the biggest selloff in two years during yesterday’s session, with a series of earnings misses intersecting with broader economic dynamics to trigger a headlong rush out of “megacap” names that have been the prime beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence craze. Safe-haven currencies are appreciating, front-end Treasury yields are inching lower, oil prices are down, and the broader commodity complex is coming under renewed selling pressure. The proximate trigger for the selloff isn’t entirely obvious, but...

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Volatility Ratchets Higher as Global System Outage Hits Markets

A flight to safety in currency markets is slowly unwinding this morning, but jitters remain as traders gain a better understanding of how a worldwide software outage is impacting the global financial system. Airlines, telecommunications firms, banks, and stock exchanges are suffering service disruptions after an update from the CrowdStrike cybersecurity firm reportedly took down systems running Microsoft’s Windows operating system, but price action in the foreign exchange pairs we track remains consistent with typical liquidity conditions, suggesting that market participants are finding ways to transact. The technological tumult comes after days of strange weather in financial markets, with shifts...

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Trump Assassination Attempt Bolsters Dollar

The dollar has snapped a three-day losing streak and global markets are retracing their steps after the attempted assassination of former president Donald Trump at a campaign event in Pennsylvania over the weekend. Treasury yields are up, equity futures are heading toward a positive open, oil prices are up, and the Mexican peso is down a little over 1 percent as we go to print. Most observers believe that the attempt – bolstered by a dramatic photo of a bloodied Trump triumphantly holding his fist aloft – will translate into a bump in the polls, making it more likely that...

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