Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

EUR

Trade War Nerves Offset Stale Jobs Reports

Markets have joined economists in thinking that trade wars really aren’t good, or easy to win. After weeks of dizzying changes in US tariff policies, the S&P 500 is down 7 percent from all-time highs, Treasury yields have fallen sharply, and the dollar is down against all of its major counterparts—despite this morning’s relatively-stable non-farm payrolls report. In the latest development, Donald Trump yesterday said he would pause tariffs on goods that comply with the North American free trade pact negotiated during his first tour in office—just two days after he imposed near-universal 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico....

Read More Read More

Policy uncertainty

• Mixed markets. US equities fell. ECB cut rates but gave off ‘hawkish’ vibes. EUR holds onto recent gains. AUD up near its 4-month average.• Push/pull. US tariff news still evolving. Pres. Trump announced temporary exemptions on some imports from Mexico & Canada. The art of the deal?• US jobs. Monthly US jobs report due tonight. US Fed Chair Powell also speaks on the outlook. These events could spark more USD volatility. Global Trends Markets continue to be whipped around by geopolitical and economic uncertainty. In the US, tariff news is still evolving. US President Trump announced that goods from...

Read More Read More

Dollar Slide Continues as Growth Differentials Shift

Markets are turning down ahead of the North American open as global bond yields ratchet higher and extreme levels of policy uncertainty cripple investment and spending decisions in the world’s largest economy, narrowing expected growth differentials across the major currency blocs. The trade-weighted dollar is down more than 2 percent on the week, ten-year Treasury yields are lagging their international rivals, and equity markets are setting up for a broad-based retreat after the bell. The Trump administration yesterday said it would give automakers a one-month reprieve from the 25 percent tariffs that have been imposed on other imports from Canada...

Read More Read More

Markets Stabilise on Tariff Hopes

Some semblance of calm is returning to financial markets this morning after US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggested that the administration could agree to relax tariffs on Canada and Mexico by this afternoon. Equity indices plunged, Treasury yields tumbled, and risk-sensitive currencies sold off during yesterday’s session as investors expressed concern over the growth-negative aspects of the Trump administration’s tariff measures, but reversed higher when Lutnick’s interview with Fox News aired after the North American close, and have added to their gains this morning on similar comments provided during an interview with Bloomberg. Currency traders remain on tenterhooks however, especially...

Read More Read More

EU on the defensive

• EU spending. Signals about more EU defence spending boosted the EUR. This has weighed on the USD & indirectly given the AUD some support.• Tariffs. US tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, & China kicked off. China & Canada announced retaliatory measures. Pres. Trump speaks today.• AU data. Q4 GDP due today. Partial indicators suggest growth momentum improved. RBA easing cycle to be slow & limited. China’s NPC also starts. Global Trends Geopolitical developments continue to push and pull markets. Global equity market losses extended overnight, with larger falls coming through in Europe compared to the US (EuroStoxx600 -2.1%...

Read More Read More