Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

EUR

Sentiment Improves On Stabilising Rate Expectations

Risk appetite is improving this morning after yesterday’s softer-than-expected price data and relatively dovish comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell helped ratify expectations for rate cuts in the remainder of the year. Ten year yields are holding near 4.35 percent, the greenback is on the defensive, and the euro and pound are advancing ahead of the North American equity market open. Treasury yields slipped and the dollar suffered its biggest drop in a month when the Institute for Supply Management’s services index dropped to 51.4 from 52.6 in February, with the “prices paid’ sub index falling to the lowest...

Read More Read More

Holding firm

• Limited moves. Equities mixed, bond yields drifted back, & the USD is little changed. AUD is close to where it was this time yesterday.• Low vol. Measures of equity & FX volatility are now well below average. Markets could be complacent to the macro & geopolitical risks still lurking.• AU CPI. The monthly CPI indicator due today. More info on services is provided. We think inflation could re-accelerate by more than expected. Limited moves across markets overnight with not much new information coming through to shift the dial. In contrast to the small rise across European equities US stocks...

Read More Read More

Waiting game

• Quiet start. Global equities mixed. Bond yields drifted higher. USD a little softer. AUD has clawed back a bit of ground over the past 24hrs.• CNH & JPY. Authorities in China have pushed back on recent CNH weakness. Rhetoric from Japanese officials about JPY weakness has also ramped up.• Data flow. US durable goods orders in focus tonight. Locally, the monthly CPI indicator is due tomorrow & retail sales are released on Thursday. It has been a typically quiet start to the holiday shortened week with limited new news over the past 24hrs. Most of the major global equity...

Read More Read More

Liquidity Ebbs Into Holiday-Shortened Week

The trade-weighted dollar is holding steady and equity futures are poised to open lower as market participants prepare for a lower-intensity, holiday-thinned trading week. Treasury yields are ticking higher, oil prices are up modestly, and risk-sensitive units like the Canadian dollar are trading sideways ahead of a week dominated by the release of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator – when North American markets will be closed for Good Friday. Thin liquidity could boost the appeal of safe haven currencies in the days ahead, but some mean reversion could play out over a longer time horizon. With the global economy...

Read More Read More

Can the stronger USD last?

• Firmer USD. US equities consolidated, bond yields dipped, while the USD’s upturn continued despite some better than expected European data.• Weaker CNH. A catalyst behind the USD strength was the weaker CNH. Given its tight correlation the lift in USD/CNH exerted more pressure on the AUD.• Event radar. US durable goods orders & the PCE deflator are due. There are also a few Fed speakers. Locally, the monthly CPI indicator & retail sales are released. After a run of positive days US equities consolidated on Friday near record highs (S&P500 -0.1%). That said, over the week the S&P500 still...

Read More Read More

Data and information on this website is provided “as is” and for informational purposes only. Information on the website does not bind Corpay in any way; nor is it not intended as advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial products. Data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. All charts or graphs are from publicly available sources, or our proprietary data. Nothing in this material should be construed as investment, financial, tax, legal, accounting, regulatory or other advice or as creating a fiduciary relationship. Corpay disclaims any responsibility or liability to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on our use of the data in any way. You should contact your Corpay sales representative for clarification on the range of financial instruments available in your jurisdiction. Copyright Cambridge Mercantile Corp. 2022.