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CAD

Volatility Subsides As Inflation Dust Settles

Price action is slowing in financial markets after yesterday’s US inflation report definitively cleared the way for a September rate cut, yet stopped short of justifying an unusually-large half-percentage-point move. Both the headline and core consumer-price indices rose at the slowest pace in three years in July, but shelter costs failed to match the prior month’s swift deceleration, putting the onus on forthcoming labour market data to determine whether a faster pace of easing is justified. The dollar is holding near an eight-month low, Treasury yields are little changed, and stock market futures are setting up for an incrementally-stronger open....

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RBNZ kicks off its easing cycle

• Steady ship. US CPI largely as expected. Consolidation in markets. NZD underperformed. This also exerted a bit of pressure on the AUD.• RBNZ cut. RBNZ delivered a 25bp cut & flagged many more to come. Fundamentals between AU & NZ are diverging. This is AUD/NZD positive.• Data flow. Today, the volatile AU jobs report, China activity data, UK GDP, & US retail sales are due. A couple of US Fed members also speak tonight. The latest US CPI inflation report was in focus overnight, and the largely as anticipated results generated a rather benign response. The annual pace of...

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Risk Appetite Rises Ahead of US Inflation Print

Investors are struggling to restrain themselves ahead of consumer inflation data that is expected to help clear the way for a jumbo-sized rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September. Treasury yields are sliding, equity indices are setting up for a positive open, and risk proxies like the Canadian dollar are advancing as market participants double down on a soft landing scenario in the US. The trade-weighted dollar is down roughly half a percentage point from Monday’s level after producer prices rose by less than forecast in July, pointing to a continued easing in underlying inflation pressures. The core producer...

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Markets Steady as Inflation Data Looms

Currency markets are back to treading water this morning, with the dollar remaining effectively unchanged against its major rivals as traders brace for another round of inflation prints. Treasury yields are creeping higher, equity futures are setting up for a positive open, and global oil benchmarks are flatlining even as an Iranian attack on Israel comes into closer prospect. The British pound is trading with a slightly firmer bias after the jobless rate fell unexpectedly, seemingly reducing the impetus for monetary easing from the Bank of England. According to data released by the Office for National Statistics earlier this morning,...

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Fragile Calm Returns

Fear levels are subsiding across financial markets after a week that shattered the typical August calm. The safe-haven yen and Swiss franc are tumbling against a recovering dollar, Treasury yields are edging upward, equity futures are pushing higher ahead of the North American open, and measures of financial stress are reverting toward levels that prevailed ahead of the July non-farm payrolls report. Last week’s moves are now seen as an overreaction. After the Institute for Supply Management’s services index rebounded and weather-related distortions were removed in last week’s initial claims data, the consensus has shifted toward expecting a continued deceleration...

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