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Market Brief, North America

Dollar stalls on Asian currency rebound

Central bank jawboning helped the Chinese yuan and Japanese yen stop the dollar’s advance this weekend, with the trade-weighted exchange rate roughly -0.3 percent below Friday’s close. North American equity futures are setting up for a modestly-positive open, Treasury yields are inching higher, oil prices are slipping, and most other major currencies are firmly rangebound against the dollar. The renminbi jumped more than 1 percent in Asian trading hours after the People’s Bank of China warned that it could intervene directly in markets to squeeze short-sellers and stabilize exchange rates. “We will not hesitate on taking actions when necessary to...

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Yuan plummets, dollar pushes toward eighth weekly gain

Faith in a US soft landing – bolstered by yesterday’s surprise drop in initial jobless claims – seems to be on shakier ground this morning. Equity futures are broadly lower, Treasury yields are slipping, and the dollar is down almost imperceptibly – although it remains on course toward closing out an eighth week of gains against its major counterparts. The Canadian dollar is essentially unchanged after Governor Tiff Macklem hinted that the Bank of Canada’s monetary tightening cycle was drawing to a close. “With past interest rate increases still working their way through the economy,” he said “monetary policy may...

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Another day, another (more expensive) dollar

The greenback keeps moving from strength to strength, with the “US outperformance” trade gaining renewed momentum as risk appetite falls and signs of weakness grow more evident in other parts of the global economy. Equity futures are softening this morning as reports of a Chinese government ban on Apple devices drive the technology company’s shares lower. Yields are slightly lower at both the two- and ten-year horizons, and most major currencies are down against the dollar.  Yesterday, when the Institute for Supply Management said its index of service-sector activity had risen to a six-month high, with improvements seen in virtually...

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Dollar steamrolls global markets

The almighty greenback is holding near its highest levels since March this morning as rising oil prices and slower disinflation fears force Treasury yields upward. The major North American equity bourses are under pressure and risk-sensitive currencies are licking their wounds.  Half-hearted defence efforts from policymakers are doing little to reverse the tide. The euro is up just 0.2 percent after European Central Bank Governing Council member Klaas Knot warned markets could be “underestimating” the likelihood of a rate hike at next week’s meeting, and his colleague Peter Kazimir said he would prefer to “deliver another 25 basis points” and...

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Risk appetite fades on China slowdown fears

The US dollar is stronger against all its major counterparts this morning, building on August’s 1.7-percent gain as weak Chinese data weighs on global risk appetite. US equity futures are setting up for a modestly-weaker open and Treasury yields are up across the curve, helping keep the trade-weighted greenback near six-month highs. Global commodity prices are under pressure, the euro is softer, and both the onshore and offshore Chinese yuan pools are trading below 7.30 to the dollar after the private-sector Caixin services purchasing manager index dropped to 51.8 in August from 54.1 in July (the 50 level marks the...

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