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USD

22 Jan 2026

Relief rally supports additional market gains

Markets look set to extend gains for a second day after President Donald Trump ruled out the use of force and retreated from threats to seize Greenland through economic coercion. The dollar is firmer, yields are steadier, and stock futures are pointing to a stronger open as a relief rally plays out across asset classes. Measures of implied volatility in Treasury, equity, and foreign exchange markets are all coming down as investors reduce protection against tail exposures, and risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars are outperforming their safe-haven brethren. Late yesterday, Trump said he would not proceed with...

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21 Jan 2026

Let’s make a deal

• Improved tone. Reports of a Greenland deal ‘framework’ boosts sentiment. US equities rose. USD index a bit firmer. AUD outperforms. NZD edges higher.• Data flow. The volatile Australian jobs report due today. US PCE deflator out tonight. Tomorrow Q4 NZ CPI is released. BoJ also meets on Friday. Global Trends An improvement in risk sentiment overnight after US President Trump dialed down his aggression with regards to Greenland at the Davos World Economic Forum. After earlier stating the US wouldn’t use force to acquire Greenland, President Trump posted that following discussions with the Secretary General of NATO a “framework...

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21 Jan 2026

Markets rally as Trump backs down on Greenland

Markets are celebrating TACO Tuesday on a Wednesday after US President Donald Trump dropped a threat to impose tariffs on imports from a number of European trading partners, saying that he and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte had “framework of a future deal with respect to Greenland and, in fact, the entire Arctic Region”. The dollar is climbing against its peers, while the Swiss franc falls amid a broader surge in risk appetite. Equity markets are rallying and US yields are edging lower. In a post on his social media platform, the president said: “Based upon a very productive meeting that...

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21 Jan 2026

Selloff loses steam, traders remain on tenterhooks

After several days of turbulence, selling pressure is easing across financial markets, suggesting that investors expect US president Donald Trump to adopt a less confrontational approach when meeting in person with his counterparts at the World Economic Forum in Davos later today. The dollar is steadying against its peers, Treasury yields are stabilising near recent highs, and equity futures are pointing to a modest advance when North American markets open. Scarring will remain. For the second time in a year, markets have warned that the consequences of the president’s actions could weigh most heavily on the United States itself, not...

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20 Jan 2026

‘Sell America’ trade intensifies

Equity futures, Treasuries, and the dollar are down for a second day as investors shun US assets in the aftermath of the weekend’s Greenland-related tariff threats from Donald Trump, and selling in Japanese bond markets puts upward pressure on global yields. On Saturday, Trump threatened to impose import taxes on goods from European countries until they allow the US to buy the Danish territory, beginning with a 10-percent levy on February 1 and increasing to 25-percent on June 1. He then sent a message to Norway’s Prime Minister saying that he no longer feels obliged to “think purely of Peace”...

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