Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

USD

Ceasefire optimism fades, leaving markets in retracement mode

Markets are giving back some of yesterday’s gains as doubts mount over Tuesday’s US-Iran ceasefire agreement, with Israel pressing its assault on targets in Lebanon, Tehran showing no sign of easing its grip on the Strait of Hormuz, and all sides remaining far apart on basic terms. Both the Brent and West Texas Intermediate global crude oil benchmarks are knocking on the $100 threshold once again, front-end Treasury yields are pushing higher, equity futures are pointing to losses, and the dollar is back to outperforming its higher-beta and carry-driven counterparts. There’s little evidence to suggest that the agreement is translating...

Read More Read More

Fragile ceasefire

• Holding up. Markets held onto yesterday’s gains stemming from the US/Iran ceasefire news. However there wasn’t much additional follow through in FX.• AUD & NZD. AUD near top of its ~2-week range. But lingering issues are a headwind. RBNZ’s ‘hawkish’ vibes may help NZD recoup more lost ground. Global Trends Risk sentiment has remained positive over the past 24hrs on the back of yesterday’s US/Iran ceasefire news. However, in a reflection of how fragile the situation still is most asset classes remained range-bound overnight after yesterday’s knee-jerk repricing as the initial headlines came out. That said, there have still...

Read More Read More

Iran relief rally punishes dollar

A tentative relief rally is unfolding across global markets after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with yields falling, equities climbing, and the dollar tumbling against its major rivals in early action. US president Donald Trump yesterday threatened to hit civilian targets across Iran, wiping out a “whole civilization,” but reversed direction before his self-imposed deadline, claiming that Pakistan had brokered a compromise and saying “Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and...

Read More Read More

Let’s make a deal

• US/Iran ceasefire. News of a ceasefire has boosted risk sentiment. Equity futures higher, oil lower, USD weaker. AUD & NZD at multi-week highs.• Lingering issues. Developments are a positive. But economic aftershocks of events still in the pipeline. RBNZ meets today. No change in rates expected. Global Trends Markets have been on edge to see if President Trump crystallizes his ramped-up threats of strikes against infrastructure sites across Iran (or the “whole civilization” as he posted overnight) or if this was another TACO event (i.e. Trump Always Chickens Out). The US had been turning up its verbal pressure, and...

Read More Read More

Oil prices plunge as US finds off-ramp in Iran conflict

Oil prices are plunging and currency markets are reversing direction after US President Donald Trump said he would “suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” “subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz”. “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will,” Trump wrote earlier today, before Pakistan’s prime minister suggested that the two sides agree to a two-week ceasefire*, with Iran permitting traffic to flow through the Strait...

Read More Read More

Data and information on this website is provided “as is” and for informational purposes only. Information on the website does not bind Corpay in any way; nor is it not intended as advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial products. Data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. All charts or graphs are from publicly available sources, or our proprietary data. Nothing in this material should be construed as investment, financial, tax, legal, accounting, regulatory or other advice or as creating a fiduciary relationship. Corpay disclaims any responsibility or liability to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on our use of the data in any way. You should contact your Corpay sales representative for clarification on the range of financial instruments available in your jurisdiction. Copyright Cambridge Mercantile Corp. 2022.