Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

CNY

More policy support in China?

• Mixed markets. US equities a little higher, with long-end bond yields also rising. USD firmer against EUR & GBP. AUD consolidated near ~$0.6580.• China stimulus. Reports of measures aimed at supporting equities gave Chinese stocks & CNH a shot in the arm. BoJ holds steady but gave a ‘hawkish’ hint.• NZ CPI. Headline NZ inflation slowed as expected, but domestic inflation remains sticky. AUD/NZD dipped post this mornings NZ CPI release. A varied performance across markets over the past day, though most moves have been modest. US equities ended the day higher. The S&P500 (+0.3%) is just shy of...

Read More Read More

Market Moves Run Out of Oomph

After a strong start to the year, rallies in US equity markets and the dollar appear to be nearing exhaustion this morning. S&P 500 futures are pointing to a flat open and the greenback is inching higher on a stabilization in ten-year Treasury yields above the 4.1-percent threshold. The Canadian dollar is drifting lower as traders brace for a cautiously-dovish central bank decision tomorrow. The Japanese yen is modestly stronger after the Bank of Japan left policy settings intact yet signalled a move out of negative rates territory was still in the offing. Policymakers left the short-term benchmark rate at...

Read More Read More

Dollar Gains Ease As Newsflow Slows

The dollar looks set to break its four-day winning streak, reversing some of its gains as traders and investors tiptoe back into risk-sensitive assets within a quieter economic data environment. North American equity futures are building up to a mildly-positive open, Treasury yields are slipping, and most currency majors are posting incremental gains. Oil prices are pushing higher after the US hit another 14 Houthi launch sites in Yemen, and Pakistan launched an aerial assault against targets in Iran. The attack comes after an Iranian missile strike on Pakistan-based militants on Tuesday, and threatens to escalate into a wider conflict...

Read More Read More

AUD volatility: a taste of things to come?

With 2023 firmly in the rear-view mirror and markets starting 2024 with a bout of central banker driven upheaval as enthusiastic interest rate cut expectations are pared back, we thought it is an opportune time to spell out our AUD thoughts. And refresh people’s minds about some of the AUD’s historic tendencies which we believe should be kept in mind when managing FX exposures, especially considering the tricky terrain markets and economies will be navigating over coming months. Regular readers of our research would be aware that after an anticipated bout of turbulence over Q3/early-Q4 2023 we were vocal regarding...

Read More Read More

Monetary Easing Hopes Fade

The dollar is holding near a one-month high and risk appetites are deteriorating as investors ratchet monetary easing expectations down in the face of a concerted jawboning campaign from central bankers. Odds on a rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s March meeting are down to less than 60 percent after Governor Christopher Waller warned policymakers would be “methodical and careful” in lowering borrowing costs. In a speech given yesterday morning, Waller disappointed investors expecting a repeat of previous rate-cutting cycles by saying “With economic activity and labor markets in good shape and inflation coming down gradually to 2 percent, I...

Read More Read More