Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

CAD

FX Momentum Dies As Fed Officials Outline Dual-Sided Risks

After most Federal Reserve officials—with the notable exception of Stephen Miran—sounded a consistently-cautious and incrementally-hawkish tone in appearances during the early part of the week, the US dollar is staging a recovery against its major peers—including the euro, pound, yen, and Canadian dollar—Treasury yields are moving sideways, and North American equity futures are setting up for small gains at the open. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell didn’t rock any market boats in yesterday’s economic outlook speech. Speaking in Providence, Rhode Island, he noted that both ends of the central bank’s dual inflation and employment mandate are moving in the wrong...

Read More Read More

Steady as she goes

• FX consolidation. In contrast to the dip in US equities & yields the USD tread water. AUD near ~$0.66. Fed Chair Powell notes the “challenging situation”.• AU CPI. Monthly CPI indicator due today. Base effects & leading indicators point to a pick up in inflation. RBA looks set to remain on a different path to its peers. Global Trends Steady as she goes, at least in FX, with the major currencies treading water over the past few sessions after last week’s US Fed induced burst of volatility. EUR (the major USD alternative) is tracking just above ~$1.18, USD/JPY (the...

Read More Read More

Dollar Edges Lower Ahead of Heavy Fedspeak Week

Last week’s modest recovery in the dollar is showing signs of exhaustion this morning as investors brace for a week dominated by speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are holding near the 4.1-percent mark and stock market futures are pointing to incremental selling at the open after hitting new record highs in Friday’s session, while the euro and pound advance against the greenback amid a sluggish trading backdrop. On the surface, this week’s macroeconomic calendar looks substantially less dangerous. A raft of purchasing manager indices, out tomorrow, should provide insight into how global economic conditions are evolving...

Read More Read More

Hold the line

• Holding on. Quiet end to last week. US equities at record levels. US yields & USD tick up. AUD eased back further. AUD’s first weekly fall in a month.• Event Radar. Global PMIs due (Tues). US PCE deflator also out (Fri). US Fed Chair Powell speaks (Weds AEST). AU CPI indicator scheduled (Weds). Global Trends It was a fairly quiet end to the week after the burst of US Fed inspired volatility the prior few sessions. Data wise there were no major releases in the US or Europe, while in Asia, as expected, the Bank of Japan held interest...

Read More Read More

US Fed restarts its cutting cycle

• Fed moves. US Fed cut rates by 25bps & flagged more down the track. But this was priced. A burst of vol. overnight. AUD slipped back from ~11mth highs.• Rate cuts. Chair Powell labelled it ‘risk management’. But negative labour market trends point to a steady stream of Fed rate cuts, in our view.• Data flow. Bank of Canada also cut rates overnight. NZ GDP weaker than expected. Australian jobs report out today. BoE set to hold steady tonight. Global Trends The US Fed policy meeting was in focus overnight. The outcome generated a bit of volatility due to...

Read More Read More