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CAD

Canada and Mexico Launch Retaliatory Measures Against US

In a response that could add momentum to an escalatory cycle, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau this evening said “Canada will be responding to the US trade action with 25 percent tariffs on $155 billion dollars worth of American goods,” including immediate tariffs on $30 billion as of Tuesday, and another $125 billion in 21 days* to allow Canadian companies to seek alternatives”. “This is a threat against our whole country,” he said, and “as part of our response, we are considering, with the provinces and territories, several non-tariff measures including some related to critical minerals, energy procurement, and other partnerships”....

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Trump Imposes Sweeping Tariffs on Canada and Mexico, Threatening to Ignite Global Trade War

Ending—and beginning—weeks of speculation, President Donald Trump has delivered details of his tariff plan to officials in Ottawa and Mexico City, raising taxes on most imports from Canada and Mexico to 25 percent, in a move that is likely to generate upheaval in the world’s largest integrated trading area and trigger another round of disruption in foreign exchange markets. According to major Canadian news networks*, the president intends to authorise the implementation, as of Tuesday, of 25-percent tariffs on virtually all goods imports, alongside a 10 percent levy on Canadian oil and gas products. If deployed immediately, the increase would...

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Dollar Slips On Potential Deferral of Tariff Threats

The US dollar is retreating against the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar after Reuters reported that the Trump administration plans to implement tariffs on both of its biggest trading partners on March 1—a month later than had been previously threatened. Markets see this timeline providing room for Mexican and Canadian leaders to satisfy the president’s demands on border controls, potentially avoiding extremely-negative outcomes for all three economies. This news item should be taken with a Truth Social-sized grain of salt: the president has walked back several similar articles in recent weeks, indicating in each case that he does not intend...

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Tariff Threats Offset Signs of Improving Fundamentals

The US dollar looks set to close out the week with its strongest performance since the middle of November after President Donald Trump reiterated his threat to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico by tomorrow. The loonie and peso are both down more than a full percentage point on the week, North American equity indices are setting up for a subdued open, Treasury yields are pushing higher, and high-beta currencies remain on the defensive. Inflation pressures in the US remained stable at the end of last year. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed the core...

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Tariff volatility

• Tariff threat. President Trump rattled FX markets this morning after reiterating tariffs could be imposed on Canada & Mexico on Saturday. USD rose.• Macro pulse. Overnight the data showed that US growth outpaced the Eurozone. ECB cut rates again. More moves likely to revive activity.• AUD vol. The Trump comments exerted downward pressure on the AUD. More headline driven volatility likely over the period ahead. Global Trends The economic data flow picked up overnight with the relative outperformance of the US once again on show with tariff-related comments by US President Trump rattling a few FX market nerves this...

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