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Market Wire, North America

Trump raises tariffs, again

Only a day after the Supreme Court struck down his tariff regime, and less than 18 hours after signing an executive order implementing new 10 percent tariffs on all US trading partners, Donald Trump has announced he will increase the levy to 15 percent. In a post on his social media platform, the president said after a “thorough, detailed, and complete review of the ridiculous, poorly written, and extraordinarily anti-American” court decision, he is “effective immediately, raising the 10 [percent] Worldwide Tariff on Countries, many of which have been ‘ripping’ the U.S. off for decades, without retribution (until I came...

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Trump implements new 10% global tariffs

US president Donald Trump has said he will sign an order imposing 10-percent tariffs on all global imports later today, replacing many of the levies ruled illegal by the Supreme Court this morning. In a press conference punctuated by accusations of foreign meddling in American courts, the president said the new duties will be implemented under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, implying that there can be no carveouts for specific product groupings, and that the government will have 150 days to gain Congressional approval before they expire. During that time, Trump said his administration would begin investigations...

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Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s tariff regime, doesn’t rule on refunds

The Supreme Court of the United States this morning ruled against Donald Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs, but declined to rule on firm’s eligibility for refunds, meaning that importers will be left to pursue claims through the Court of International Trade. At first glance, the ruling should reduce tail risks for market participants. The threat of abrupt and unilateral changes in US tariff rates has been a persistent source of volatility premia in foreign exchange, particularly for export-sensitive currencies. By narrowing the scope for executive action and lengthening the policy transmission lag, the...

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Fed holds rates in broadly-supported decision, shifts statement language into neutral

The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged this afternoon, and subtly upgraded its assessment of labour markets and growth, disappointing those expecting a more dovish bias and lending the dollar some much-needed support. In the widely-expected decision, the Federal Open Market Committee voted by a consensus-driven 10-to-2 margin to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate between 3.50 and 3.75 percent. Trump appointee Stephen Miran again dissented from the majority in favour of a bigger move, joined by Christopher Waller, who is seen as a potential candidate for Chair when Jerome Powell’s term ends. In a tweak to the...

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Bank of Canada stays sidelined, preserves optionality for future moves

As markets had overwhelmingly anticipated, the Bank of Canada left its policy settings on hold this morning, and again clearly signalled that rates are already at near-neutral levels, keeping expectations restrained for the year ahead and leaving currency markets broadly unmoved. Policymakers led by Governor Tiff Macklem maintained the policy rate at 2.25 percent for a second consecutive meeting after delivering nine cuts between June 2024 and September 2025. In the official statement setting out the decision, policymakers noted that the current policy rate “remains appropriate, conditional on the economy evolving broadly in line with the outlook we published today....

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