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Market Wire, North America

Canada adds more jobs than expected for a second month, loonie climbs

The Canadian economy again generated more jobs than anticipated last month, suggesting that the economy is beginning to shrug off the tariff shock. According to an update just published by Statistics Canada, 66,600 new positions were added in October and the unemployment rate dropped to 6.9 percent. Consensus estimates—which have become less reliable in recent months—had pointed to 5,000 new hires, with the jobless rate holding at 7.1 percent. 85,100 positions were added in part-time roles, while 18,500 were lost in full-time work. An average 27,200 full-time jobs were added over the last three months, while the part-time component has...

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Fed delivers risk management cut, markets hold gains

The Federal Reserve cut rates for a second time this year in a move best characterised as a “risk management” cut, as officials try to prevent nascent signs of a slowdown in labour markets from turning into a full-blown downturn. In a well-telegraphed and fully-priced decision, the Federal Open Market Committee voted along divided 10-to-2 lines to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to between 3.75 and 4.00 percent, with Trump appointee Stephen Miran dissenting from the majority in favour of a bigger move, while Jeffery Schmid elected to stay on hold. In the statement setting out...

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Bank of Canada cuts, telegraphs an end to its easing cycle

The Bank of Canada delivered another rate cut this morning, as widely expected, but clearly signalled that policy rates are now near neutral—implying that further easing is unlikely in the absence of a material shift in economic conditions. Policymakers led by Governor Tiff Macklem lowered the policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent after cutting by the same amount in September. In the official statement setting out the decision, policymakers highlighted growth risks as the biggest motivating factor for the move, saying “The Canadian economy faces a difficult transition. The structural damage caused by the trade conflict reduces...

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Dollar retreats as US inflation slows

Underlying consumer price growth decelerated in the United States last month, clearing the way for a second consecutive rate cut from the Federal Reserve at next week’s meeting, and putting downward pressure on the dollar. According to delayed data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the core consumer price index—with highly-volatile food and energy prices excluded—rose 0.2 percent in September, accelerating slightly from August’s 0.3-percent increase, and rising 3.0 percent on a year-over-year basis. This undershot consensus estimates among economists polled by the major data providers ahead of the release, and was the slowest pace recorded in...

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Powell Turns Dovish in Jackson Hole, Triggering Dollar Plunge

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell provided a clear signal that the central bank will soon resume cutting interest rates in a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium this morning. “The balance of risks appears to be shifting,” Powell said at the central bank’s annual gathering in the Grand Teton National Park this morning, “In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside—a challenging situation”. “Nonetheless, with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance”. In his last appearance...

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