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08 Apr 2026

08 Apr 2026

Fragile ceasefire

• Holding up. Markets held onto yesterday’s gains stemming from the US/Iran ceasefire news. However there wasn’t much additional follow through in FX.• AUD & NZD. AUD near top of its ~2-week range. But lingering issues are a headwind. RBNZ’s ‘hawkish’ vibes may help NZD recoup more lost ground. Global Trends Risk sentiment has remained positive over the past 24hrs on the back of yesterday’s US/Iran ceasefire news. However, in a reflection of how fragile the situation still is most asset classes remained range-bound overnight after yesterday’s knee-jerk repricing as the initial headlines came out. That said, there have still...

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08 Apr 2026

Iran relief rally punishes dollar

A tentative relief rally is unfolding across global markets after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with yields falling, equities climbing, and the dollar tumbling against its major rivals in early action. US president Donald Trump yesterday threatened to hit civilian targets across Iran, wiping out a “whole civilization,” but reversed direction before his self-imposed deadline, claiming that Pakistan had brokered a compromise and saying “Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and...

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