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20 Nov 2025

Stale data shows US job creation picking up even as unemployment rises

The US job creation engine turned in a solid performance in September, maintaining market expectations for a short pause in the Federal Reserve’s easing campaign. According to delayed data just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 119,000 jobs were added in the month—representing an overshoot relative to the 51,000-consensus forecast—while the previous two months were revised down by a total 33,000 positions. This brought the three-month average pace of job creation to 62,000, up from 29,000 ahead of the update. However, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4 percent from 4.3 percent previously—likely assisted by a rise in the...

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Dollar climbs ahead of non-farm payrolls

Currency markets are holding steady after an extremely busy session that saw odds on a December rate cut plunge, helping the dollar post its best daily performance in almost two months. Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are holding near 4.14 percent—up almost three basis points from yesterday—equity futures are setting up for gains at the open, and the euro, yen, and Canadian dollar are all trading defensively against the greenback ahead of the delayed September jobs report in half an hour. Minutes taken during the Federal Reserve’s late-October get-together showed policymakers turning more hawkish than markets had anticipated, further lowering the...

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