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06 Feb 2025

06 Feb 2025

US jobs report in focus

• Holding pattern. Modest moves in most markets overnight. JPY’s upswing extends. AUD range bound just above its 1-month average.• UK rates. BoE cut interest rates by 25bps. 2 members voted for a larger move. More easing expected over time. AUD/GBP supported overnight.• US jobs. US employment report in focus tonight. Signs the US labour market is cooling could revive US Fed rate cut bets & drag on the USD. Global Trends A relative sense of calm in most markets overnight with only a few macro announcements, no fresh news regarding US trade tariffs, and the US jobs report due...

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06 Feb 2025

Markets Stabilise as Policy Risks Recede

Financial markets are overcoming post-traumatic stress syndrome three days after Donald Trump started—and then temporarily paused—a potentially-catastrophic trade war with Canada and Mexico. Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are inching lower and major equity bourses are headed for a stronger open after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called tariffs a “means to an end,” and said the new administration is focused on bringing down interest rates. The dollar is holding firm against its rivals. The number of Americans submitting initial applications for unemployment benefits rose incrementally to 219,000 in the week ended February 1, and continuing claims fell slightly in the prior...

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