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29 Jan 2025

Inflation & the AUD

• Central banks. Another rate cut by the BoC & Riksbank, although forward guidance was removed. US Fed kept rates steady & signaled patience.• Modest moves. Mixed performance across equities. Bond yields ticked up. USD tread water. ECB expected to cut rates tonight. US GDP also released.• AU CPI. Core inflation slowed bolstering expectations for a February RBA rate cut. A rates recalibration is looming, but is the low AUD already factoring this in? Global Trends There were few data releases overnight and no new news regarding President Trump’s policy agenda, particularly around tariffs. Rather, central banks were in the...

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Price Action Slows in Run-Up to Rate Decisions

The dollar is advancing against most of its peers and financial markets are broadly holding steady ahead of this afternoon’s Federal Reserve decision. The world’s most powerful central bank is almost-universally expected to stay on hold—and the accompanying statement should remain essentially unchanged—but Chair Jerome Powell’s words in the post-decision press conference will be closely scrutinised for hints as to whether a rate cut could come at the March meeting. Yields have retreated from their recent highs, driven by a modest softening in incoming survey data, market turmoil, relatively-dovish rhetoric from Fed officials, and a rush among investors to top-tick...

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