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25 Nov 2024

25 Nov 2024

US politics still in the driver’s seat

• US politics. Trump’s Treasury Secretary pick supported sentiment. US equities rose while bond yields fell. USD lost a little ground.• AUD dip. AUD bucked the trend to be back near ~$0.65. Underperformance on the crosses was a factor. We don’t think this should last.• Data flow. Limited releases today. RBNZ expected to cut rates tomorrow. Australian monthly CPI also due Wednesday. Will it re-accelerate? The market tone has been a bit more upbeat at the start of the new week. News President-elect Trump has nominated experienced hedge fund manager Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary, a more orthodox choice than...

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25 Nov 2024

Bessent-Driven Relief Rally Boosts Currency Markets

Financial markets are heaving a sigh of relief after president-elect Donald Trump picked Scott Bessent – a relative moderate and someone with a firm grasp of macroeconomics – to lead the Treasury Department. The hedge fund manager and Soros Fund alumni is seen as someone who might steer the incoming administration’s fiscal and trade policies in a more pragmatic direction, reducing the negative effects of an “America First” approach on other economies. The benchmark ten year Treasury yield is down six basis points from Friday’s close, equity futures are setting up for a strong open, and the dollar is down...

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