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08 Nov 2024

Currency Market Mean Reversion Continues, Weakening Dollar

The “Trump trade” that animated currency markets after Tuesday’s presidential election continues to dissipate this morning. The dollar’s post-election rally is now almost fully unwound, the Mexican peso and its emerging market brethren are broadly higher, and most major currencies – including the euro, British pound, and Japanese yen – are either above, or just a few basis points below key psychological levels that could support further upside. Treasury yields are slightly lower after the Federal Reserve kept its options open in yesterday’s decision. Officials cut rates by a quarter percentage point and made semantic modifications to the accompanying statement...

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