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01 Nov 2023

US bond yields tumble

• US yields fall. No change from the US Fed, but the tone was ‘cautious’. This, softer US data, & lower debt issuance projections weighed on US yields.• Positive sentiment. The moves in US rates helped support equity markets & cyclical currencies like the AUD. The AUD outperformed over the past 24hrs.• Yield spreads. The RBA is expected to hike rates next week & further steps are possible. This shift has seen yield spreads move in favour of a higher AUD. A sizeable drop in US bond yields was the dominating market development overnight. US yields fell by 14-19bps across...

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Fed holds rates, notes risks from tighter financial conditions

For a second consecutive meeting, the US Federal Reserve’s policy committee held its benchmark interest rate at a 22-year high and held out the possibility of further hikes if inflation pressures fail to ease. After 11 increases since March 2022, the target range for the federal funds rate was maintained between 5.25 and 5.5 percent. In a largely-unchanged statement, officials acknowledged an acceleration in growth, upgrading the economic expansion from “solid” to “strong”. Language which previously noted job creation had “slowed” was revised to say it had “moderated”. Policymakers retained optionality to deliver another hike, preserving a sentence that referred...

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