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23 Jun 2023

Mexican Peso Snapshot

Although core inflation remains stubbornly elevated in both the US and Mexico, the signs of an eventual decline are clearly evident. Inflation is rolling over. Core Consumer Price, % Annual Change The Federal Reserve is on the verge of pausing – and ending – its rate hikes. This is impacting expectations for the Banco de Mexico. Monetary tightening cycles are ending. Cumulative change in Federal Funds Rate since initial increase, % Central bankers in both countries are closely aligned on the need for a “higher for longer” policy stance – and although markets are pricing in modest cuts in the...

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Risk appetite falls on accumulating evidence of global economic slowdown

The dollar is staging a broad-based recovery this morning after a raft of purchasing manager surveys showed activity slowing sharply across a range of global economies. Data published by S&P this morning provided evidence of decelerating growth in Australia, Japan, the UK and the euro area, with the all-important services sector joining manufacturing in showing signs of strain in every major country. In the euro area, the headline purchasing manager index dropped to 50.3 in June from 52.5 in the prior month, narrowly avoiding contraction and hitting a five-month low as the strike-plagued French economy deteriorated and the German factory sector remained depressed. European yields fell...

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