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USD

Renewed Tariff Threats Clobber Currency Markets

The dollar is back on the offensive after Donald Trump last night said he favours implementing universal tariffs “much bigger” than 2.5 percent. Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One, the president appeared to double down on threats against auto manufacturers in Canada and Mexico, and said the US would soon hit pharmaceuticals, chips, semiconductors, steel, copper, and a range of other categories with import taxes. An earlier report from the Financial Times suggested that newly-confirmed US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent supports applying an initial 2.5-percent tariff against all US trading partners, with an increase in the same amount coming...

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Tech tumbles

• Equity pressure. AI news out of China weighed on US tech stocks. The 7 US megacaps have driven the overall market strength the past few years.• Spill-overs. Risk off tone in equities washed through other markets. Bond yields fell as did oil. JPY outperformed while AUD & NZD slipped back a bit.• Event radar. Locally, Q4 CPI in focus this week (Weds). Offshore, the US Fed, Bank of Canada, & ECB meet. Tech stocks also report earnings. Global Trends Some nervousness returned to markets after what had been a relatively more positive period last week. US equities kicked off...

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Dollar Retreat Gains Momentum on Tech Sector Plunge

Futures on US stock markets are tumbling this morning as outsized performance gains from China’s DeepSeek artificial intelligence start-up raise uncomfortable questions about the competitive moats surrounding America’s biggest tech firms. According to artificial intelligence experts, a thinly-resourced open-source large language model released by the Chinese company last week shows comparable performance to those built by US firms like OpenAI and Meta, suggesting that the race among Silicon Valley firms to invest tens of billions of dollars in advanced chips may not pay off—at least not for those on the vanguard. DeepSeek’s chatbot topped downloads on Apple’s App Store over...

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Easing US-China Tensions Boost Risk Appetite

Financial markets are back in risk-on mode after US President Donald Trump appeared to suggest that he could avoid putting tariffs on Chinese imports, backing off a campaign pledge to hit the country with a 60-percent levy. In a previously-recorded interview with Fox News that aired in the United States last night, Trump said “We have one very big power over China, and that’s tariffs, and they don’t want them. And I’d rather not have to use it, but it’s a tremendous power over China,” also noting that he had a “great relationship” with Chinese president Xi Jinping prior to...

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Trump talk continues

• Trump talk. More comments from US President Trump overnight, but market reaction was relatively muted. Equities rose, while oil & the USD eased.• AUD & NZD. The USD pull-back is supporting AUD & NZD. Both are near the top of their respective 1-month ranges. AU CPI due next week.• BoJ hike? BoJ meets today. Another hike expected. We think the BoJ is ‘behind the curve’. Higher rates can help the JPY lift over the medium-term. Global Trends As has been the case the past few days comments by US President Trump in a virtual appearance at the World Economic...

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