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MXN

Mixed data supports dollar in countdown to tomorrow’s payrolls report

Happy Thursday. The dollar is extending its advance for a third session after yesterday’s data underscored the US economy’s resilience, denting bearish conviction. Most major currency pairs remain rangebound, with the pound, euro and yen all holding broadly neutral technical positions against the greenback. Treasury yields are slightly higher, while equity markets are set to open a bit lower as investors weigh the Trump administration’s latest threats to intervene in the housing and defence sectors. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover report delivered more evidence of a cooling in demand for workers, but layoffs remained low and the quits...

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Markets largely shrug off Venezuela risks, safe haven flows rise slightly

Global markets are taking the latest surge in geopolitical risk largely in stride after the United States attacked Venezuela and detained President Nicolás Maduro over the weekend. A mild flight to safety is lifting the dollar, the Japanese yen, and Swiss franc against their risk-sensitive rivals, Treasury yields are down slightly, and both of the major crude benchmarks—Brent and West Texas Intermediate—are trading slightly lower. The Mexican peso is off around 0.7 percent after Donald Trump said the US will have to “do something” about drug shipments from the country. From a mechanical standpoint, the global macro backdrop looks essentially...

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Surprise deceleration in inflation pressures dollar

Underlying consumer price growth slowed dramatically in the US last month, helping support expectations for a more aggressive easing campaign from the Federal Reserve in the new year. According to data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning—data that skipped the month of October—the core consumer price index rose just 2.6 percent in November over the same period last year, decelerating sharply from September’s 3.0-percent increase. This undershot all estimates among economists polled by the major data providers ahead of the release. On a headline all-items basis, prices climbed 2.7 percent year-over-year, also slowing from the 3.0 percent...

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Price action slows as traders brace for dangerous week

Currency markets are trading cautiously as participants prepare to close the books on 2025, with many cutting exposure ahead of a week laden with economic data and central bank event risks. The dollar is adding to last week’s losses amid a debate over whether the next meaningful move comes from a narrowing in cross-currency rate differentials or a hawkish repricing in US growth expectations, trading volumes are turning choppy amid year-end rebalancing flows, and measures of implied volatility are showing a small uptick as investors prepare for unexpected moves. Here in North America, a number of key data releases are...

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Selloff intensifies

A global rout in risky assets looks set to extend into a third day as investors turn more sceptical on artificial intelligence spending and pull back on expectations for a rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. North American equity futures—particularly on technology-focused indices—are pointing to renewed selling pressure at this morning’s open, Treasury yields are modestly higher across the curve, and the dollar is trading higher against most of its counterparts as investors seek liquidity. The Canadian dollar and euro are outperforming on the crosses while the Mexican peso and Australian dollar drop relative to the safe-haven Japanese...

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