Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

MXN

Week Ahead Market Brief: November 2 -6

Good morning, and happy Halloween. Currency and government bond markets are holding steady after a week in which monetary and fiscal policymakers largely delivered on expectations: the Bank of Canada raised rates; the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan all held; and in Britain, Chancellor Healey delivered a well-telegraphed, fiscally moderate Budget that kept investors onside with Andy Burnham’s government. Most major currency pairs look largely range-bound, with measures of expected volatility remaining remarkably subdued – including at the one-week horizon – suggesting that participants expect more of the same over the coming days. The...

Read More Read More

The superpeso stumbles

The peso is suddenly facing serious headwinds For much of this year, the “superpeso” lived up to its reputation. In late August, the exchange rate hit a two-year peak, and President Claudia Sheinbaum hailed it as one of the “strongest and most solid currencies in the world”. Seven weeks later, the mood has soured. The peso has fallen for six consecutive weeks, its longest losing streak since 2019, and is trading near a one-year low even as the dollar beats a hasty retreat from recent highs. That underperformance could persist in the near term, with the currency sliding further toward...

Read More Read More

Equity market turbulence intensifies, sending dollar reeling

Shares are sliding and the dollar is tumbling against its main counterparts as an unwinding of crowded AI-related trades sends investors fleeing to safe havens. US equity markets are setting up for further losses at the open after technology shares suffered their worst sell-off in months yesterday, Treasury yields are falling, while the yen and Swiss franc outperforming the euro, pound, and Canadian dollar as the retreat from risk gathers momentum. Yesterday’s data added to the turmoil, showing that price pressures in the US economy remain too intense, too widespread, and too persistent. A widely-anticipated consumer price index report showed...

Read More Read More

Apparent easing in geopolitical tensions delivers currency market relief

Good morning. Long-term yields are slipping, oil prices are edging lower and the dollar is retreating after US president ​Donald Trump said the US would not attack Iran before next month’s midterm elections, easing market fears of another major disruption in global energy supplies. Ten-year Treasury yields are down to 5.24% after reaching 5.35% earlier in the week, front-month Brent futures are trading for $102 a barrel while the West Texas benchmark goes for $90, and the trade-weighted dollar is down roughly 0.25% from yesterday’s high. The move could be short-lived. Oil markets will stay on edge as long as...

Read More Read More

Dollar climbs as rate differentials grow more supportive

Good morning. The dollar is edging toward an 18-month high as the Federal Reserve maintains its tightening bias, while higher energy prices and rising yields weigh on other major currencies. The euro, British pound, Canadian dollar, and Mexican peso are all trading near the bottom of their recent ranges, reflecting a fairly consistent move in rate differentials relative to the dollar. Yesterday’s minutes from the Fed’s September meeting confirmed what markets already believed. Participants unanimously agreed that disinflation was making too little progress and that borrowing costs should climb as geopolitics and the artificial-intelligence buildout add to upside price risks....

Read More Read More

Data and information on this website is provided “as is” and for informational purposes only. Information on the website does not bind Corpay in any way; nor is it not intended as advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial products. Data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. All charts or graphs are from publicly available sources, or our proprietary data. Nothing in this material should be construed as investment, financial, tax, legal, accounting, regulatory or other advice or as creating a fiduciary relationship. Corpay disclaims any responsibility or liability to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, for any loss or damage arising from any reliance on our use of the data in any way. You should contact your Corpay sales representative for clarification on the range of financial instruments available in your jurisdiction. Copyright Cambridge Mercantile Corp. 2022.