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MXN

Dollar Tumbles After US Job Creation Collapses

The dollar is plunging after the US labour market hit a wall last month, reinforcing market expectations for at least two rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the back half of the year. According to data just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, just 73,000 jobs were added in July – representing an undershoot relative to the 105,000-consensus forecast – and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2 percent. The previous two months were revised lower by a combined 260,000 roles, and private sector job creation flipped into negative territory. Total payroll gains have averaged 35,000 over the...

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Markets Keep Playing Chicken With Trump

Financial markets are beginning the week in a remarkably-calm state after the Trump administration spent the weekend escalating its trade war and stepping up its assault on Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. The dollar is trading on a slightly firmer footing after posting its best performance since February last week, Treasury yields are up incrementally, and equity futures are pointing to modest selling at the open. Both the euro and Mexican peso are trading only slightly below Friday’s closing levels, even after Trump threatened to impose 30-percent tariffs on imports from August 1 in a pair of early-Saturday missives. Traders...

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Trump Raises Tariffs on Mexico and the European Union to 30 Percent

Currency markets are headed for another bruising open when trading begins in Asia tomorrow afternoon after President Donald Trump delivered another set of letters threatening to impose higher tariffs on Mexico and the European Union. In two missives posted to his social media platform, the president said taxes on imports from two of America’s most important trading partners would rise to 30 percent on August 1, separate from other sectoral tariffs on products like steel, aluminum, and automobiles. In his communication to President Claudia Sheinbaum, Trump acknowledged “Mexico has been helping me secure the border,” but said “what Mexico has...

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Trump’s Tariff Letters Leave Markets Largely Unmoved

The dollar is losing altitude once again after Donald Trump reignited trade tensions with a fresh round of tariff threats, unsettling global markets and complicating the outlook for monetary policy. Trump sent letters to 14 countries last night—including close allies and key trading partners Japan and South Korea—threatening them with the reimposition of tariffs from August 1, and more are expected today. The greenback is sitting on losses equivalent to roughly half of yesterday’s gain, Treasury yields are up across the curve, equity futures are pushing lower ahead of the open, and the Canadian dollar, Mexican peso, and euro are...

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Markets Turn Cautious As US Consumer Spending Engine Slows

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure came in slightly hotter than expected in May—lending support to the central bank’s cautious approach—but personal spending levels missed forecasts, pointing to a more profound slowdown ahead. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed the core personal consumption expenditures index rising 0.2 percent from the prior month, topping market forecasts for a 0.1-percent increase. On a year-over-year basis, core price growth sped up to 2.7 percent, also exceeding economist estimates for a 2.6 percent advance, and the prior month’s increase was revised up to 2.5 percent. The overall personal consumption...

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