Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

JPY

French politics rattles FX markets

• Mixed markets. Equities push higher while French political issues weighed on the EUR. This supported the USD. AUD & NZD lost ground.• US data. ISM manufacturing better than expected. US job openings due tonight. Non-farm payrolls released on Friday night.• AU events. October retail sales stronger than anticipated. A promising sign for Q4. Q3 GDP released on Wednesday. RBA meets next week. There has been a mixed performance across asset markets and regions at the start of the new month. Equities have continued to power along with strength in the tech-sector underpinning the broader US market which hit another...

Read More Read More

Dollar Rallies Back, Euro Tumbles

The ‘US exceptionalism’ theme is back to driving markets this morning, helping the dollar snap a three-day losing streak against most of its rivals. The euro is coming under pressure as the French government struggles to pass a budget, the Swiss franc is advancing amid stronger safe-haven flows, and major high-beta currencies – like the Canadian dollar – are all off around half a percentage point. The dollar’s outperformance this year can be seen clearly in the chart below, which shows trade-weighted values through November 27. After softening in the run-up to the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut, the currency...

Read More Read More

US jobs in the spotlight this week

• Positive tone. A solid end to November with US & European equities rising. Bond yields dipped. AUD & NZD edged a bit higher.• JPY revival. JPY rebound has weighed on USD/JPY & the USD. Narrowing yield spreads as the BoJ hikes & others cut rates is JPY supportive.• Event radar. Locally, retail sales out today & GDP is on Weds. US Fed Chair Powell speaks this week & the latest US jobs figures are due. Markets ended last week, and November, on a positive note. In the holiday shortened US session equities rose with the S&P500 (+0.6%) touching another...

Read More Read More

Hold the line

• Holiday markets. Limited moves with the US closed for Thanksgiving. Eurozone equities rose & yields dipped. USD tread water.• AUD holding. AUD little changed. RBA Governor Bullock spoke & noted that “underlying” inflation is too high to consider a near-term rate cut.• Data flow. EZ CPI due tonight. China PMIs tomorrow. Next week AU GDP is released, Fed Chair Powell speaks, & the US jobs report is out. With the US closed for the Thanksgiving holiday it was a quiet night on markets. Across in Europe, equities rose with the EuroStoxx600 ~0.5% higher, while bond yields declined. Bond yields...

Read More Read More

Fundamentals vs flows

• Softer USD. A firmer EUR, stronger JPY, & month-end portfolio rebalancing flows exerted a bit of downward pressure on the USD.• AUD & NZD. AUD ticked up & NZD rose despite RBNZ delivering a 50bp cut & indicating more to come. AUD/NZD below model estimates.• Holiday markets. US markets closed for Thanksgiving tonight & only open for a few hours on Friday. Thinner liquidity may generate bursts of intra-day vol. Mixed fortunes across markets over the past 24hrs with the economic data and central bank comments butting up against month-end portfolio rebalancing ahead of the US Thanksgiving holidays. US...

Read More Read More