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JPY

Dollar inches higher as post-shutdown trading dynamics assert themselves

Foreign exchange markets are trading on a mixed footing this morning as the US government data backlog begins to clear and investors brace for a series of critical corporate earnings releases. Equity futures are pointing to a firmer open (although this may be a Pavlovian response to a ten-week winning streak on Mondays), and benchmark Treasury yields are creeping up ahead of appearances from Fed officials including Governors Jefferson and Waller later today. The dollar is outperforming pro-cyclical currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars, holding its own against the British pound and euro—which are clinging to technical resistance levels...

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Back to work

• Cross-currents. Bursts of intra-day vol., but net market moves minimal. US equities flat on Friday. AUD & NZD ticked up a fraction.• US data. With the government shutdown over US data flow picks up. Delayed September non-farm payrolls report due this week (Thurs night AEDT).• Event Radar. Australian Q3 wages are out (Weds). Global PMIs are on the calendar (Fri). Several US Fed members also set to speak. Global Trends Intra-day market gyrations continued Friday, but the net moves were modest. After opening lower on the back of lingering valuation concerns across the tech-sector the S&P500 ended the session...

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Selloff intensifies

A global rout in risky assets looks set to extend into a third day as investors turn more sceptical on artificial intelligence spending and pull back on expectations for a rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. North American equity futures—particularly on technology-focused indices—are pointing to renewed selling pressure at this morning’s open, Treasury yields are modestly higher across the curve, and the dollar is trading higher against most of its counterparts as investors seek liquidity. The Canadian dollar and euro are outperforming on the crosses while the Mexican peso and Australian dollar drop relative to the safe-haven Japanese...

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US Government Reboot

• Market wobbles. US shutdown ends. Market jitters return. US equities fall while yields rise. USD softer versus majors like EUR & JPY. AUD slips back.• AU jobs. Employment conditions rebound with unemployment declining. Odds RBA doesn’t cut rates again have risen. China data batch due today. Global Trends There were a few renewed wobbles in risk sentiment overnight with US assets at the forefront of the moves. There was a small sense of the ‘sell America’ theme, which dominated market action a few months ago, returning. US equities lost ground with the tech-sector leading the way (NASDAQ -2.3%, S&P500...

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Optimism reigns across financial markets as shutdown nears end

Financial markets are back in risk-on mode as US lawmakers return to Washington for a vote that could end a 43-day shutdown that paused federal government paycheques, delayed vital food aid for millions of Americans, and disrupted global airline travel. House Republicans are expected to support Monday’s spending package in today’s session, clearing the way for a reopening of the government by Friday. The dollar is grinding higher against a basket of its most-traded counterparts, risk-sensitive currencies like the Canadian and Australian dollars are on the march against the safe-haven Japanese yen, benchmark two- and ten-year Treasury yields are slipping...

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