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GBP

Hawkish Kashkari Comments Pour Cold Water on Markets

The dollar is advancing, yields are higher, and equity futures are in retreat as more overt hawkishness from a Fed official weighs on global risk sentiment. Markets tumbled yesterday morning when Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari – doing his best to become the new Jim Bullard – suggested that further rate hikes remained a possibility. Speaking at a monetary policy forum in London, Kashkari said “the odds of us raising rates are quite low,” but “we could stay on hold for an indefinite period of time, and “I don’t think anyone has totally taken rate increases off the table”. Kashkari’s...

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Market Momentum Fades After US Long Weekend

The dollar is holding steady, Treasury yields are essentially unchanged, and equity futures are edging higher as US market participants return from the Memorial Day long weekend. Both the pound and euro are trading near the tops of their respective trading ranges as economic growth prospects brighten and expected yield trajectories edge higher. A series of data releases over the last month have provided evidence of a bottoming in both economies, with last week’s purchasing manager indices delivering the clearest view yet into the improvement in sentiment that could underpin growth in the manufacturing and services sectors. The European Central...

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No news is good news

• Quiet start. UK & US on holidays. European equities rise & bond yields slip back. Upbeat risk tone weighed on the USD & supported the AUD.• ECB speakers. Several ECB members spoke with a rate cut next week strongly hinted at. What happens after that will depend on the data.• AU data. Retail sales due today. Monthly CPI indicator released tomorrow. Weaker data could exert some near-term downward pressure on the AUD. It has been a quiet start to the week across markets, unsurprising given the UK and US were off enjoying a long weekend and the limited news...

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Dollar Cruises Toward Weekly Gain on Fading Easing Expectations

With a long weekend ahead, the dollar looks set to consolidate its biggest weekly advance since early April as markets capitulate in the face of hotter-than-expected US growth data and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. The greenback is down slightly in early trade against all of its major counterparts – other than the yen – but remains roughly half a percent stronger on the week, two-year Treasury yields are up a little more than 2 percent, and equity futures are steadily giving back Wednesday’s gains ahead of the North American open. Defying our expectations, the US economic activity accelerated in...

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Twists & turns

• US data. US PMIs stronger than expected. This fanned the flames of the ‘higher for longer’ rates view. US bond yields rose & equities dipped.• FX moves. USD a bit firmer, but net FX moves have been modest. AUD extended its pull-back to be near ~$0.66, in-line with its 1-month average.• Data calendar. A few bits & pieces released today such as UK retail sales & US durable goods orders. Next week AU retail sales & monthly CPI are due. Some more twists and turns in the global economic data with the US business PMIs for May coming in...

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