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GBP

Revived US inflation fears

• US PPI. Much stronger than expected US producer prices rekindled inflation fears. US yields rose, as did the USD. AUD back below 1-month average.• AU jobs. Employment report broadly inline with forecasts. Unemployment hovering just above 4%. Supports the case for gradual RBA easing.• Data flow. China activity data due today. In the US, retail sales & industrial production out tonight. Data could generate more USD volatility. Global Trends There was a bit of a ripple across markets overnight on the back of resurfacing US inflation fears. US Producer Prices were much stronger than forecast with the 0.9% monthly...

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Shifting Fed views

• Positive vibes. Global equities pushed higher with markets factoring in a series of US Fed rate cuts. USD softer. AUD & NZD edge a little higher.• AU jobs. Volatile employment report released today. Labour demand is cooling. Will the AU jobs data rebound or is a new (weaker) trend forming?• US data. Producer prices & jobless claims out tonight. US retail sales & import prices due Friday. US Fed expectations (& the USD) may be impacted. Global Trends There was limited top tier economic data released overnight. As a result, market sentiment was driven by a few US Fed...

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RBA cuts, US inflation contained

• US CPI. Not as bad as feared US inflation supported sentiment overnight. US equities rose, as did US rate cut expectations. USD softer. AUD rebounded.• RBA change. RBA finally delivered another 25bp rate cut yesterday. A few more moves look to be in the pipeline based on the RBA’s new forecasts.• Data flow. AU wages out today & jobs report due tomorrow. China data released on Friday. US producer prices & retail sales on the radar later this week. Global Trends The latest read on US CPI inflation was in focus overnight and another ‘not as bad as feared’...

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RBA & US CPI on the radar

• Mixed signals. US equities rose on Friday. Bond yields ticked up. Limited net moves in FX. AUD & NZD tracking above their 1-year averages.• RBA focus. After surprising by holding rates steady in July, RBA expected to cut this week. Given inflation & job trends will the RBA turn more ‘dovish’?• Event Radar. In addition to the RBA the latest jobs figures are out this week. In the US CPI inflation & retail sales are due, as is the China data batch. Global Trends A mixed performance across markets at the end of last week, with limited new news...

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US economic worries & the USD

• Upbeat tone. US equities have rebounded over recent days, while bond yields & the USD lost ground. AUD & NZD have edged a little higher.• US macro. A run of weak US data has boosted Fed rate cut expectations. US CPI inflation & retail sales are a couple of important releases out next week.• Data flow. China trade data due today. Bank of England expected to cut rates. Next week RBA looks set to lower rates after holding steady in July. Global Trends Questions about the health of the US economy, an adjustment in interest rate views, and a...

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