GBP

• Market swings. Modest improvement in sentiment overnight after risk aversion on Friday. Markets bring forward US rate hike pricing. AUD near 2-month low.• US data. Better than expected US jobs report on Friday. US CPI out this week. Markets may continue to adjust their US Fed thinking. More vol. expected. Global Trends A few turbulent sessions across markets the past few days with a rather acute bout of risk aversion on Friday night and during yesterday’s Asian trade partially unwound overnight. Risk appetite improved a bit during last night’s US trade on the back of Middle East headlines. After...

• Holding on. Modest financial market moves. US equities & oil tick up. NZD a bit softer. AUD edges up slightly & outperforms on the crosses.• Data flow. More signs US jobs market is holding up. EZ inflation quickens, raising odds of an ECB rate hike next week. AU Q1 GDP released today. Global Trends A fairly quiet 24hrs across markets with modest net moves coming through across most asset classes. US equities nudged up (S&P500 +0.1%), US bond yields consolidated, oil rose slightly (WTI crude +1.4%), and the major currencies tread water with EUR drifting sideways (now ~$1.1630), USD/JPY...

• Headline noise. Conflicting Middle East news generated a few bursts of volatility. US bond yields & USD ticked up. NZD & AUD lost a bit of ground.• Macro events. Eurozone CPI tonight. US non-farm payrolls due later this week. Australian Q1 GDP out on Wednesday. RBA Gov. Bullock also speaks (Thurs). Global Trends Middle East-related headlines knocked markets around a little overnight. Uncertainty about a durable peace deal remains and skirmishes between opposing forces continued over the weekend. Conflicting comments generated a few intra-session bursts of volatility yesterday. On the one hand, Iranian media reported the country would suspend...