Dollar Steamroller Keeps Going
It’s not July 4th yet, but fireworks are going off in the financial markets. The dollar has risen sharply in line with a surge in Treasury yields over the last three sessions after a dismal performance from President Biden in Thursday’s televised debate triggered a dramatic reappraisal in the odds on a Republican sweep. With former president Trump cruising toward a second term and his party seen gaining control over both houses of Congress, markets think increased tariffs, reduced immigration, and lower taxes will lead to higher inflation, larger deficits, and more Treasury issuance. Breakeven inflation rates – a measure...