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Currencies Calm Even As Pound Slumps On Labour Market Cooling

The greenback is edging higher against most of its advanced-economy counterparts, but traders remain cautious as they await tomorrow’s inflation release, Thursday’s long-dated Treasury auction, and any substantive breakthroughs in US-China trade negotiations. North American equity futures are little changed, yields are inching lower, and all major currency pairs – other than those involving the British pound – are stuck within incredibly-tight trading ranges as the data calendar slows and the Federal Reserve’s blackout period remains in effect, leaving markets to trade on shifts in broader sentiment. The pound is the lone exception to the sense of calm* after selling...

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Slow & steady

• Quiet start. US equities rose a bit overnight, while US bond yields & the USD eased. AUD & NZD near top of their respective multi-month ranges.• Macro trends. US jobs report released last Friday. Topline figures mask weakness under the hood. Indicators point to softer trends forming.• Event Radar. US/China trade talks taking place. In the US, inflation is a focus (Weds). Will the US CPI show tariff impacts on ‘goods’ prices? Global Trends It has been a quiet start to the new week across markets. US equities ended the overnight session a bit higher (S&P500 +0.1%), while US...

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US jobs in focus

• US wobbles. US equities declined & USD softened. Public spat between Musk & Trump intensified. AUD touched a fresh year-to-date high.• Macro trends. ECB delivered a ‘hawkish’ cut. Tweaks to inflation forecasts & rhetoric suggest ECB is nearing the end of its easing cycle.• US jobs. Monthly US jobs figures in focus tonight. Various indicators point to a cooling US labour market. Will the data spring a surprise? Global Trends A couple of push-pull forces generated a few wobbles overnight. On net, in contrast to the modest uptick in European equities the major US markets declined (S&P500 -0.5%) with...

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Currency Momentum Slows As Markets Wait To Exhale

An early-week rebound in the dollar is losing steam this morning as markets shift focus toward macroeconomic indicators and await developments in trade negotiations between the US and China. The greenback is trading slightly lower against a basket of its most-traded peers, benchmark ten-year Treasury yields are almost unchanged, and equity futures are positioning for modest gains at the North American open. Data published yesterday showed US labour markets cooling only slightly in April, even as business and consumer confidence measures plunged. According to the closely-watched Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey, job postings increased by 191,000 to 7.4 million...

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Trade War Flare-Up Destabilises Dollar

The dollar is back on the defensive as June begins, retreating amid a worsening in trade tensions between the United States and its global counterparts. On Friday, President Donald Trump announced he would double steel tariffs to 50 percent, again raising taxes on American consumers while prompting fears of a new round of countermeasures from Canada and the European Union. China yesterday accused the US of “seriously violating” the trade ceasefire agreed in Geneva last month, noting that Washington has imposed a series of “discriminatory restrictive measures,” including restrictions on chip design software, warnings against the purchase of Huawei products,...

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