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CAD

Fed Easing Hints Carry Markets Higher

Financial markets are kicking off a new month in an ebullient mood after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank is prepared to cut them in September if inflation keeps moving lower. Treasury yields are lower across the curve, equity futures are consolidating for another day of gains, and commodity prices are broadly higher. On foreign exchange bourses, price action is more mixed, with a generalised improvement in risk appetite intersecting with still-elevated geopolitical tensions to alleviate selling pressure on the greenback: the Canadian dollar is holding steady while most other majors...

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Canadian Dollar Pops, Greenback Falls On Relative Improvement

The Canadian economy accelerated toward the end of the second quarter, helping reduce market-implied odds on an aggressive easing cycle from the Bank of Canada. Numbers released by Statistics Canada this morning show real gross domestic product heading toward a 2.2-percent annualised gain in the three months ended June, above market forecasts and the Bank of Canada’s 1.5-percent estimate. The economy expanded 0.2 percent on a month-over-month basis in May, topping the 0.1-percent consensus as 15 of 20 economic sectors reported growth and goods-producing industries advanced. Manufacturers generated the biggest upside contribution—most likely on a rise in export demand—and retail...

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Currency Market Price Action Begins to Accelerate

The Bank of Japan raised benchmark lending rates and announced plans to cut its monthly bond purchases by half in last night’s meeting, moving closer to unwinding an unconventional monetary policy programme that began in the late nineties. Surprising—but not shocking—market participants, the central bank under Governor Kazuo Ueda lifted the target for the uncollateralised overnight call rate to 0.25 percent, up from the previous zero-to-0.10 percent range, and said it would gradually reduce government bond purchases to around ¥3 trillion a month by early 2026, down from the current ¥6 trillion. With internal Bank forecasts pointing to a self-reinforcing...

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Currency Traders Keep Powder Dry Ahead of Looming Event Risks

So far, so good. A potentially-dangerous week in foreign exchange markets has started quietly, with most major currency pairs remaining tightly rangebound as traders brace for a raft of central bank decisions, data releases, and earnings reports over the coming days. The dollar is stable, Treasury yields are flatlining, and equity futures are setting up for a modestly stronger open. The Canadian dollar and other risk proxies are holding near Friday’s closing levels after the US Treasury Department’s latest borrowing estimate met market expectations, leaving bond yields flat during yesterday’s session, and reducing anxiety ahead of tomorrow’s quarterly refunding announcement....

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Currency Markets Stabilise as Traders Brace for Heavy Week

Markets are holding steady ahead of a week full of potential volatility landmines: central bankers in Tokyo, Washington and London will deliver rate decisions, four of the ‘magnificent seven’ technology companies – Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft – will release earnings, the euro area will publish an inflation update, and a critical US non-farm payrolls report will cap things off before the August doldrums set in. The dollar is edging higher, Treasury yields are slumping, and equity futures are setting up for a second day of gains after last week’s steep stock market selloff. Investors remain unwilling to take short...

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