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CAD

Selloff eases, dollar grinds higher

Currency markets are stabilising this morning as a global selloff eases and the US government shutdown enters a record-breaking 36th day. Asset prices tumbled across the financial landscape yesterday as concern over rarefied valuations intersected with expectations for a slower Federal Reserve easing cycle, but steep losses in the technology sector now appear to be reversing, demand for safe-haven Treasuries is slackening, and risk appetite is—hesitantly—returning in foreign exchange markets. The dollar is trading on a slightly firmer basis along with its safe-haven counterparts, the British pound is enjoying a modest rebound after falling into oversold territory ahead of tomorrow’s...

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Market wobbles return

• Market swings. A bout of risk aversion overnight. Valuation concerns weighed on equities. Bond yields dipped. USD firmer. AUD & NZD lose ground.• RBA hold. No change in rates by RBA yesterday. Updated forecasts & guidance suggest there is a chance no more cuts are delivered, in our view.• US data. US Government Shutdown still in place. Private sector stats in focus. ADP employment & services ISM due tonight. This may generate more vol. Global Trends A burst of “risk off” negative market sentiment has washed through global markets over the past 24hrs. A modestly weak day yesterday in...

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Markets flip into more cautious stance as easing hopes fade and correction fears grow

The almighty greenback is holding near a three-month high this morning as investors scale back their exposure to technology stocks and grapple with uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. US equity markets are set to open lower after Palantir Technologies issued a somewhat-disappointing revenue forecast, risking the near-150-percent jump in its share price this year, and intensifying concerns about stretched valuations across the tech sector. Policy-sensitive Treasury yields are easing even after several officials—including Governor Lisa Cook, San Francisco’s Mary Daly, and Chicago’s Austan Goolsbee—signaled a lack of conviction in a potential December rate cut, citing the evolving...

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Dollar inches higher as markets keep driving through the fog

The dollar is starting November on a firm footing, edging higher against a basket of its major rivals after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week repeatedly warned markets against expecting more monetary easing in December. Over the past four sessions, front-end rate differentials have shifted slightly in favour of the greenback—enhancing its relative appeal—and strong earnings from a number of the biggest technology names have enhanced foreign investor interest in American equities, adding further support to the currency. The US government shutdown is now in its 34th day and will on Wednesday become the longest ever. With leaders showing...

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RBA looks set to hold steady

• Upbeat tone. US equities end the week & month on positive footing. USD ticked higher. AUD & NZD drifted back. AUD a bit firmer on a few cross-rates.• RBA meeting. Given CPI RBA expected to hold (Tues). Near-term inflation forecasts to be revised up. Will RBA close the door on more cuts?• Event radar. In addition to the RBA, NZ jobs report due (Weds). In the US, official data may be delayed, so things like ADP employment are in focus. Global Trends It was a relatively quiet end to last week and October with modest net moves across most...

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