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CAD

Easing Hopes Unwind Further, Putting Pressure on Currency Markets

The dollar is recovering, ten-year Treasury yields are pushing higher, and risk sentiment is worsening as traders further downgrade odds on rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, forcing investors to brace for a modest tightening in financial conditions. The Canadian dollar is surging on an unexpectedly-strong jobs report, which is also lowering expectations for an accelerated pace of monetary easing in coming months. The Bureau of Labor Statistics yesterday reported an unexpectedly-large increase in underlying inflation. The core consumer price index – which excludes food and energy costs – climbed 0.3 percent month-over-month in September, reversing a period of declines...

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Currencies Stall Ahead of Inflation Print

Currency markets are losing momentum as investors brace for this morning’s September consumer price index numbers out of the United States. The dollar is holding steady after racking up an eight-day winning streak, and most of its rivals remain stuck within well-contained trading ranges as questions around the Federal Reserve’s easing trajectory continue to dominate price action. With the European Central Bank now expected to slightly outpace its US equivalent in cutting rates this year, the euro is plumbing lows last seen in mid-August, and the British pound is climbing in the opposite direction on bets that the Bank of...

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Diminished Rate Cut Hopes Weigh on Risk Appetite

The dollar is heading toward an eighth day of gains as fixed-income traders pull back on monetary easing expectations and brace for hawkish undercurrents in this afternoon’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes. Ten-year Treasury yields are holding above the 4-percent threshold, North American equity futures are softening on the prospect of renewed antitrust action against Google’s parent company, and most major currencies are stuck in a defensive posture against the almighty greenback. In theory, minutes taken during last month’s Fed meeting should be stale on arrival, but could move markets nonetheless. Policymakers ultimately opted for an outsized half-percentage-point rate cut in...

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Markets Steady As Payrolls Tumult Subsides

The dollar is consolidating near a seven-week high against its major counterparts as yield differentials normalise and safe-haven demand fades. Treasury yields are moving in opposing directions across the curve, with the two-year slipping lower even as the ten-year inches higher, and North American equity futures are positioned for a modest recovery at the open. Currency markets are seeing mixed price action after Chinese authorities disappointed investors with a smaller-than-expected stimulus announcement: the Canadian dollar and other risk-sensitive units are grinding lower, while the pound, euro, and Japanese yen are all sitting on small gains after coming under sustained selling...

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Dollar Climbs as US Economy Bounces Off Runway

US yields are back to their highest levels since early August after Friday’s blockbuster non-farm payrolls report bolstered the likelihood of a “no landing” scenario in the economy. With investors growing more confident in an outlook in which job creation continues, growth remains robust, and inflation moderates more slowly, the Federal Reserve is now seen easing policy at a more gradual pace than expected only a week ago. Two- and ten-year interest rates holding near the 4-percent threshold, North American equity markets are setting up for a negative open, and the dollar is heading toward posting a sixth daily gain,...

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