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CAD

Markets Steady After South Korean Shock

The dollar is pushing higher, Treasury yields are steadying, and equity futures are advancing as the French government moves closer to collapse and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell prepares to deliver potentially market-moving remarks later this morning. The Korean won plunged yesterday when President Soon Suk Yeol shocked citizens by declaring martial law for the first time in 40 years, deploying the military on South Korean streets. The apparent autogolpe* attempt was quickly undone by lawmakers in an emergency vote – and the currency is now almost fully recovered – but markets have grown more uncertain about the future of...

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Markets calm despite political turbulence

• Political news. Political developments in South Korea & ongoing issues in France dominated the international news flow the past 24hrs.• Calm markets. However, market spillovers were limited. European equities rose. USD held steady, as did AUD. NZD eased slightly.• AU growth. Q3 GDP released today. Partial data points to a pick up in activity. A ‘soft landing’ looks to be intact. RBA set to lag its global peers. News-wise there has been a lot going on but the geopolitical developments had limited spillover across markets overnight. In South Korea, after months of political deadlock President Yoon stunned the nation...

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Dollar Rally Eases on Waller Comments, Euro Remains Under Pressure

The dollar is trading with a softer bias this morning after Federal Reserve Governor Waller suggested that he would support cutting rates at the central bank’s next meeting, helping put pressure on the front end of the US yield curve. The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are inching higher as traders double down on bets that Donald Trump’s recent tariff threats will come to naught, the Japanese yen is climbing on a narrowing in rate differentials, and the pound is trying to build the momentum to break back into the high 1.20’s against the greenback. “At present, I lean toward...

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French politics rattles FX markets

• Mixed markets. Equities push higher while French political issues weighed on the EUR. This supported the USD. AUD & NZD lost ground.• US data. ISM manufacturing better than expected. US job openings due tonight. Non-farm payrolls released on Friday night.• AU events. October retail sales stronger than anticipated. A promising sign for Q4. Q3 GDP released on Wednesday. RBA meets next week. There has been a mixed performance across asset markets and regions at the start of the new month. Equities have continued to power along with strength in the tech-sector underpinning the broader US market which hit another...

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Dollar Rallies Back, Euro Tumbles

The ‘US exceptionalism’ theme is back to driving markets this morning, helping the dollar snap a three-day losing streak against most of its rivals. The euro is coming under pressure as the French government struggles to pass a budget, the Swiss franc is advancing amid stronger safe-haven flows, and major high-beta currencies – like the Canadian dollar – are all off around half a percentage point. The dollar’s outperformance this year can be seen clearly in the chart below, which shows trade-weighted values through November 27. After softening in the run-up to the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut, the currency...

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