Explore the world.

Assess underlying market conditions and fundamentals in the world's major economies.

World

Stay ahead.

Follow the biggest stories in markets and economics in real time.

Subscribe

Get insight into the latest trends and developments in global currency markets with breaking news updates and research reports delivered right to your inbox.

After signing up, you will receive regular newsletters from Corpay, and may unsubscribe at any time. View Corpay’s Privacy Policy

CAD

Chartbook: April 24

Exhibit 1 Currency markets are still unwinding last year’s excesses. Change in exchange rate relative to January 02, 2022, % Exhibit 2 Japanese inflation rates remain elevated, but are heading for a rollover. Annual change in core inflation rate, % Exhibit 3 Rate expectations remain deeply divergent. Implied change in policy rate relative to April 24, 2023, % Exhibit 4 The economy’s momentum hasn’t slowed. Subcomponent contributions to forecasted growth aggregate, % Exhibit 5 Wage growth is still running hot. 3-month average of median wage growth, % Exhibit 6 But credit growth is slowing. Deposits, Consumer Loans, Commercial and Industrial...

Read More Read More

Hot UK Inflation Lifts Global Yields, Leaves Currencies Largely Unmoved

Famous last words perhaps, but today is shaping up to be a quiet one in currency markets. Treasury yields and the trade-weighted dollar are inching higher after a hotter-than-expected British inflation print put upward pressure on global interest rates and pushed equity and commodity futures into a defensive posture – but trading ranges remain unspectacular relative to recent months. The British pound jumped this morning after the latest inflation numbers topped expectations, making a rate increase at the next Bank of England meeting far more likely. According to data released by the Office for National Statistics, consumer prices climbed 10.1 percent in...

Read More Read More

Chartbook: April 17

Exhibit 1 There’s only one story in FX markets. Change In Spot Exchange Rate Against USD, Relative to September 27, 2022, % [embedpress embedpress_embeded_link=” prefix_nftcreator=’false’ prefix_nftprice=’false’ prefix_nftlastsale=’false’ label_nftbutton=’false’ loadmorelabel=’false’ label_nftrank=’false’ label_nftdetails=’false’ embedpress_pro_embeded_source=’default’ embedpress_pro_embeded_nft_type=’false’ spotify_theme=’false’ embedpress_pro_video_start_time=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_end_time=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_auto_play=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_display_controls=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_enable_fullscreen_button=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_display_video_annotations=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_progress_bar_color=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_force_closed_captions=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_modest_branding=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_display_related_videos=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_size=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_custom_dimension=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_xpos=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_xpos_tablet=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_xpos_mobile=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_ypos=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_ypos_tablet=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_ypos_mobile=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_opacity=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_logo_opacity_hover=’false’ embedpress_pro_youtube_cta=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_auto_play=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_color=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_display_title=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_display_author=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_avatar=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_loop=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_autopause=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_dnt=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_size=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_custom_dimension=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_xpos=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_xpos_tablet=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_xpos_mobile=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_ypos=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_ypos_tablet=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_ypos_mobile=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_opacity=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_logo_opacity_hover=’false’ embedpress_pro_vimeo_cta=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_auto_play=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_color=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_captions_enabled_by_default=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_fullscreen_button=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_small_play_button=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_resumable=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_focus=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_captions=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_playbar=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_volume_control=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_volume=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_rewind=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_rewind_time=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_size=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_custom_dimension=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_xpos=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_xpos_tablet=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_xpos_mobile=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_ypos=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_ypos_tablet=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_ypos_mobile=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_opacity=’false’ embedpress_pro_wistia_logo_opacity_hover=’false’...

Read More Read More

Volatility Trends Lower as Global Monetary Tightening Cycle Winds Down

Markets are trading sideways this morning after the latest producer price data brought more evidence of an easing in inflation pressures – and ahead of a retail sales report that could show a decline in overall consumer spending levels. Equity futures are down slightly, with losses concentrated in banks that are expected to report weaker earnings in the coming days. With investors bracing for a final volley of rate hikes from major central banks—and positioning for cuts that seem likely to follow—short-term yields are edging up, but remain stable across the rest of the curve. The dollar is flat against most...

Read More Read More

US Inflation: something for everyone

• US CPI. Headline inflation slowed a bit more than expected, but core inflation remains high. The conflicting signals generated intra-day volatility.• Softer USD. The USD lost some ground. But will it last? Sticky US core inflation points to another Fed rate hike. Rate cut pricing for later this year looks misplaced.• AUD mixed. AUD focus today will be on the Australian labour market data. Reopened borders mean the hurdle to keep unemployment steady has risen. The latest read on US CPI inflation was the focus overnight. There was something for everyone in the data, and this generated divergence across...

Read More Read More