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Market Wire, North America

Market Wire: Rate Expectations Fall After Payrolls Report Lands in Fed’s Sweet Spot

315,000 jobs were created in the United States last month, and the unemployment rate climbed as participation levels rose – indicating that the labour market remains strong enough to withstand a three-quarter-point rate increase at the next Federal Reserve meeting, but also suggesting rates won’t have to climb quite as high in the longer term. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the unemployment rate jumped to 3.7 percent in August, and the participation rate moved down to 62.4 percent from 62.1 in the prior month, indicating that workers are coming off the sidelines, attracted...

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Market Wire: Canadian Dollar Tumbles as Economy Hits a Brick Wall

The Canadian economy expanded at a much slower-than-expected pace in the second quarter, and began to shrink as higher interest rates hit the housing market and weakened consumer demand last month. Numbers released by Statistics Canada this morning show a 3.3 percent quarter-over-quarter expansion in real gross domestic product, up from a revised 3.1 percent in the first three months of the year. In the second quarter, businesses accumulated inventories aggressively on the back of strong demand, and investment in fixed assets grew at a 14 percent annualized pace, with the oil and gas sector becoming a relative oasis of...

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Market Wire: US Consumer Spending and Inflation Measures Decelerate On Dropping Gas Prices, Dollar Ticks Lower

American households slowed spending last month as falling gasoline prices helped offset an increase in services outlays – and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure rose by less than expected. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed inflation-adjusted household outlays climbing 0.2 percent in July – roughly corresponding with a previously-reported flatlining in retail sales. A $33.3 billion increase in spending on services was partly offset by a $9.6 billion drop in spending on goods, with energy costs dragging the number down. In unadjusted terms, personal income rose 0.2 percent month-over-month, led by a solid 0.8...

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Market Wire: Canadian Retail Sales Accelerate Into a Pothole

Canadian retail sales increased by more than expected in June, but the headline number was largely driven by stronger vehicle sales and a 6.2 percent monthly jump in oil prices – measures of core consumer spending landed much closer to consensus projections, and estimates for July are pointing to the first drop in seven months. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed retail sales rising 1.1 percent on a month-over-month basis in June, beating consensus expectations for a 0.4 percent gain. Sales at auto and parts dealers rose 1.8 percent, while gas station receipts jumped 3.9 percent. Sales excluding...

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Market Wire: Dovish Fed Minutes Push Dollar and Yields Lower

The Federal Reserve rate-setting committee began considering an eventual deceleration in the pace of monetary tightening at its July meeting, aligning with comments made by Chair Jerome Powell during the post-decision press conference. A record of the discussion showed no concerns raised about the loosening in financial conditions that occurred ahead of the meeting, and appears to ratify the market reaction that unfolded when Mr. Powell said “it likely will become appropriate to slow the pace of increases”. Participants remained determined to bring inflation down to target, noting that price growth “remained unacceptably high”, with several expressing reservations about the...

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