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Market Wire, North America

Market Wire: US Inflation Accelerates, Raising Monetary Policy Expectations

Headline US consumer inflation jumped by more than expected in August, and core price growth gained momentum, putting upward pressure on short-term yields as market participants bet the Federal Reserve would continue tightening at an aggressive pace. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the consumer price index climbed 8.3 percent in August from the same period last year, up 0.1 percent on a month-over-month basis. Economists polled by major data providers expected an 8.1 percent annual gain and a -0.1 percent decrease relative to July’s flat month-over-month number. A -5 percent month-over-month drop in...

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Market Wire: Euro Flatlines After ECB Hikes as Expected

The European Central Bank lifted all three of its benchmark rates by 75 basis points this morning, matching market expectations as it battles against rising inflation pressures. The statement announcing the decision said, “Based on its current assessment, over the next several meetings the Governing Council expects to raise interest rates further to dampen demand and guard against the risk of a persistent upward shift in inflation expectations,” and “future policy rate decisions will continue to be data-dependent and follow a meeting-by-meeting approach”. Policymakers said “inflation remains far too high and is likely to stay above target for an extended...

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Market Wire: Bank of Canada Hikes As Expected, Outlines Case for Slower Tightening Ahead

The Bank of Canada lifted its benchmark rate to 3.25 percent this morning, delivering a 75 basis point hike while adjusting its language in a data-dependent direction – a shift that could signal smaller hikes in the months to come. In the statement accompanying the decision, the central bank noted a moderation in headline inflation as gasoline costs slumped in July, but pointed to elevated core measures as evidence price pressures have continued to build across the economy. Officials signalled more tightening to come, saying, “Given the outlook for inflation, the Governing Council still judges that the policy interest rate...

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Market Wire: Euro Tumbles as Russia Confirms Political Motivations for Gas Shutdown

European natural gas prices jumped more than 35 percent and the euro slid this morning after the Kremlin appeared to confirm that gas flows through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline would not resume until Western sanctions were lifted. The Financial Times and the Interfax news agency quoted Russian press secretary Dmitry Peskov saying, “The problems pumping gas came about because of the sanctions western countries introduced against our country and several companies. There are no other reasons that could have caused this pumping problem”. Russian energy giant Gazprom had previously claimed increasingly-frequent shutdowns were technical issues, resulting from an inability...

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Market Wire: Rate Expectations Fall After Payrolls Report Lands in Fed’s Sweet Spot

315,000 jobs were created in the United States last month, and the unemployment rate climbed as participation levels rose – indicating that the labour market remains strong enough to withstand a three-quarter-point rate increase at the next Federal Reserve meeting, but also suggesting rates won’t have to climb quite as high in the longer term. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the unemployment rate jumped to 3.7 percent in August, and the participation rate moved down to 62.4 percent from 62.1 in the prior month, indicating that workers are coming off the sidelines, attracted...

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