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Market Wire, North America

Market Wire: Inflation and Growth Prints Keep North American Central Banks On Course

American households kept spending last month and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure maintained its momentum, keeping the central bank on track toward a 75 basis point hike at next week’s meeting. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed inflation-adjusted household outlays climbing 0.3 percent in September, with services spending decelerating relative to August, while vehicle and drug purchases lifted the tangible goods sector. Personal income rose 0.4 percent month-over-month, led by a 0.6 percent increase in private sector wages and salaries. The core personal consumption expenditures index – targeted by the Federal Reserve – rose...

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Market Wire: Bank of Canada Delivers Smaller-Than-Expected 50 Basis Point Hike, Loonie Tumbles

The Bank of Canada lifted its benchmark overnight rate to 3.75 percent this morning, disappointing Canadian dollar bulls who had expected a 75-basis point move. In the statement accompanying the decision, the central bank said “the economy continues to operate in excess demand and labour markets remain tight” but warned, “The effects of recent policy rate increases by the Bank are becoming evident in interest-sensitive areas of the economy: housing activity has retreated sharply, and spending by households and businesses is softening. Also, the slowdown in international demand is beginning to weigh on exports.” As expected, the Bank lowered growth...

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Market Wire: Truss Resigns, Pound Climbs

Liz Truss has resigned, making her the shortest-serving prime minister in British political history. In a statement given outside Downing Street, she said she had assumed office at a time of “great economic and international instability” and, given the political situation, was unable to deliver on her electoral mandate, saying “I cannot deliver the mandate on which I was elected by the Conservative Party”. Truss will remain prime minister until a new leader is selected within the next week. The pound climbed ahead of the news, and gilt yields are down slightly as markets position for a more fiscally-responsible administration...

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Market Wire: Canadian Inflation Surprises, Lifting Rate Expectations

Canadian inflation slowed by less than expected in September, raising the odds on a 75 basis point move at next week’s Bank of Canada meeting. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed consumer prices rising 6.9 percent year-over-year in September, with the month-over-month increase amounting to 0.1 percent, beating expectations for a -0.1 percent decline. Annual inflation peaked at 7.6 percent in July, and fell to 7 percent in August. Core inflation, computed as the average of the three price measures preferred by the Bank of Canada (trim, median, and common), increased an annualized 5.3 percent – roughly unchanged...

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Market Wire: Core Inflation Accelerates More Than Anticipated, Raising Rate Expectations

Core US consumer prices climbed by more than expected in September, hitting a four-decade high as inflation pressures broadened across most services sectors. According to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning, the headline consumer price index rose 8.2 percent in September from the same period last year, up 0.4 percent on a month-over-month basis. Economists polled by major data providers ahead of the release expected an 8.1 percent annual gain and a 0.2 percent increase relative to August. A -2.1 percent month-over-month drop in energy prices — helped by an -4.9 percent tumble in the gasoline...

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