Market Brief, North America

A fragile sense of calm is returning to financial markets this morning as investors revert to betting on an aggressive easing cycle from the Federal Reserve. The yield on the 30-year US Treasury is back down to 4.88 percent after flirting with the 5-percent threshold, long-dated bonds in both the UK and Japan are coming off levels last hit in the nineties, and spreads within the euro area are contracting, pointing to an easing in funding concerns. North American equity futures are pointing to a mildly-positive open, and the dollar is holding steady against its major counterparts ahead of tomorrow’s...

Traders are cutting risk and global interest rates are ratcheting higher as investors sell long-duration instruments this morning, suggesting that a relatively calm summer in financial markets is quickly coming to a rude end. Treasury yields are climbing across the end of the curve, equity futures are retreating ahead of the North American open, and the dollar is surging against all of its major rivals as a series of idiosyncratic events unleash turbulence across fixed-income markets. 30-year UK gilt yields are holding near their highest levels since 1998 on reports suggesting that chancellor Rachel Reeves is struggling to find fiscal...