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26 Jan 2026

USD doldrums

• USD weaker. Falls in USD/JPY on back of intervention fears have weighed on USD. NZD also supported by NZ CPI. AUD near top of multi-year range.• Data flow. Q4 AU CPI due tomorrow, US Fed also meets (Thurs AEDT). AUD has had a strong run, but starting to look ‘stretched’ on momentum gauges. Global Trends A few of the recent market themes have remained in place over the past couple of sessions. Risk sentiment has remained positive with the major European and US equity markets edging higher overnight (S&P500 +0.5%). Elsewhere, bond yields ticked down a bit with the...

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Dollar tumbles as political uncertainty soars

Good morning. Foreign exchange markets are again facing treacherous conditions as a blizzard of macroeconomic and geopolitical risks hits the headlines. After a weekend filled with shocks—including an actual snowstorm—the dollar is succumbing to broad-based selling pressure as policy uncertainty spikes, equity futures are pointing to renewed losses at the open, and precious metals are going parabolic as investors pile into alternative currencies and asset classes. Trading desks are on intervention watch after the New York Federal Reserve reportedly conducted “rate checks” for the Treasury on Friday, fuelling speculation of coordinated action between Tokyo and Washington. We’re seeing no evidence...

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