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21 Aug 2025

21 Aug 2025

What will Chair Powell say?

• Cautious tone. Hawkish Fed soundbites & positive US data saw yields tick higher. US equities slipped back. AUD & NZD remain on the backfoot.• Fed speak. Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole tonight. Speech should generate some volatility & set the tone for next week’s trading as well.• Chair Powell. Market pricing more ‘dovish’ than the Fed’s view. Will Chair Powell lean against aggressive expectations or endorse them? Global Trends The cautious tone continued across markets overnight. Nervousness about tonight’s speech by US Fed Chair Powell at the annual Jackson Hole event (12am AEST) was compounded by ‘hawkish’ soundbites...

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21 Aug 2025

Outlook Improves As Global Private Sector Activity Rebounds

A hint of cautious optimism is creeping into currency markets this morning after a raft of activity gauges suggested that the global private sector is proving surprisingly resilient in the face of the US trade onslaught. The dollar is trading sideways, yields are up slightly, and North American equity futures are pointing to continued selling pressure, but this appears largely contained in the technology sector, with broader measures looking relatively stable. The euro and British pound are both holding steady against the dollar after preliminary August purchasing manager indices popped higher, outperforming expectations for a modest improvement. In the euro...

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