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19 Aug 2025

19 Aug 2025

Markets hit an air pocket

• Market wobbles. A small bout of risk aversion overnight. US equities declined while the USD ticked up. AUD & NZD lost some ground.• RBNZ meeting. RBNZ expected to cut rates again today. Will it flag even more easing down the track? NZD & AUD/NZD volatility likely to lift today.• Fed speak. Markets focused on Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming Jackson Hole speech (Fri night AEST). Will Chair Powell be more ‘dovish’ than priced? Global Trends A few risk-off wobbles across markets overnight. There was no new major news driving the moves, rather a pullback in some markets with stretched valuations...

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19 Aug 2025

Currency Market Price Action Slows, Canadian Inflation Eases

A sense of calm has descended upon global financial markets as the data cadence slows, geopolitical developments settle to a dull roar, and monetary policy expectations stabilise. Benchmark Treasury yields are almost unchanged relative to yesterday’s open, equity futures are pointing to another day of incremental gains, and measures of implied currency volatility remain low—even across short-term tenors that include Friday’s hotly-anticipated speech from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Here in Canada, inflation pressures subsided more than expected last month, slightly raising the likelihood of a rate cut in early 2026. Data released by Statistics Canada this morning showed the...

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